In general, the arc of winter for a Pirate fan goes like this:
Depression bought about by the end of the season.
Talking yourself into the coming season's team as the front office makes trades and signings.
Release of the ZiPS projections, followed by the crushing realization that upcoming Year Y will be no better than the prior Year X.
Today: FanGraphs has the 2013 Pirates ZiPS projections!
Actually, as Carson Cistulli notes in his post about the projections at FanGraphs, the projections take a bit of a different path for the Pirates on the offensive side. Pedro Alvarez and Neil Walker can be expected to give Andrew McCutchen some help at the plate and Starling Marte and Russell Martin should at least be solid contributors due to their defense and at least some offensive help.
I'm not here to talk about the offense, though, because once you scroll past the encouraging offensive numbers there's a much grimmer sight waiting for you. Out of the Pira...