The Miami Heat enter tonight’s game in Utah 1-2 on their current six-game road trip. After losing the first two at Indiana and Portland, they got back on track with a big 128-99 win at Sacramento behind Mario Chalmers’ 34 points (10-13 three-pointers). The Jazz, too, redeemed themselves in their previous game (vs Detroit) after squandering a 15-point third quarter lead the game before (vs Atlanta).
Can the Jazz keep the Heat under .500 on their road-trip? AccuScore simulations project Miami as the favorite, with a 59.5 percent chance of winning tonight. At first glance, I was surprised Miami wasn’t given at least a 65 percent chance at the win, but I soon realized the game is in Utah. The average score after 10,000 simulations is 99-94.5. Miami has a 52.7 percent chance of covering the -2.5 spread. The best bet to take in this game would be the under on the total; there is a 56.3 percent chance the total stays under 196.5.
Betting trend: The total has gone under in 4 of Miami’s last...
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January 13, 2013
