After starting the season with statement victories over the Lions and the Commanders, the Green Bay Packers were looked at as one of the top teams in the NFL.
The past two weeks have told a different story. The Packers’ explosive offense stalled out against the Browns, only scoring 10 points and leading to one of the biggest upsets of the season.
It was the opposite against the Cowboys. The offense exploded for nearly 500 yards and put up 40 points, but it was the Packers’ highly touted defense that struggled, giving up 40 points of their own, leading to the first tie in the NFL since December 2022.
With the Packers being at the top of this list of Super Bowl contenders after their 2-0 start, where did they end up after two disappointing performances? Here are the 16 NFC teams broken up into tiers and ranked on how likely it is for them to reach the Super Bowl.
After scuffling against the Packers in Week 1, the Lions have looked like they may never lose a game again. They have been one of the best offenses in the league by a long shot, and they should be with the amount of talent on their roster.
Their high-powered offense is not necessarily led by their passing attack or their ground game. They sport a balanced attack that keeps opposing defenses guessing. With the two-headed monster of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery in the backfield, their rushing attack has been strong, giving them 139 yards per game, the sixth-most in the league.
Their passing game is equally as strong. Led by star receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, who is seventh in the NFL in receiving yards, the Lions have a top-10 passing attack, as well. Jared Goff is second in the league in passer rating.
Their offense is what has been winning them games, averaging 41.3 points in their last three games, but their defense has done its job, as well, giving up only 10 points to the weak Browns in Week 4 and outlasting the strong Ravens offense in Week 3.
With the pieces coming together for the Lions, they look like the strongest team in football, especially offensively. Three of their biggest tests are within the next six weeks, when they will be facing the Chiefs in Kansas City in two weeks, the Buccaneers the week after and the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 11. The rematch against Green Bay will come on Thanksgiving in Week 13.
Philadelphia Eagles: Somehow, the Eagles have remained undefeated through the first four weeks.
Statistically, nothing about the Eagles jumps off the page. They are 30th in total offense and 22nd in total defense. Added together, they are 28th in yardage differential at minus-81.8 yards per game. The only thing that matters is the scoreboard, and they have found ways to beat top contenders like the Chiefs, Rams and Buccaneers.
They have been able to limit scoring opportunities for their opponents, giving up just 22 points per game, which is a good match for an offense that averages 27 points per game.
As one of two undefeated teams left in the NFL, the Eagles are just finding ways to win despite being underwhelming both offensively and defensively. While that’s a trait that the best teams share, can they make it last? Or will a championship roster find another gear?
Los Angeles Rams: Led by a high-powered offense, the Rams are off to a strong start. The attack is led by 37-year-old quarterback Matthew Stafford, who in Year 17 ranks seventh in passer rating.
He has two superstar wide receivers. Former Packers All-Pro Davante Adams has three touchdowns but it’s young phenom Puka Nacua who is Stafford’s go-to player. Nacua leads the NFL with 42 receptions for 503 yards; he leads the league by eight catches and 101 yards. Paired with the running of Kyren Williams, who is seventh in the league in rushing, the Rams rank fourth in the league in offense.
With just one loss, which came on a blocked field goal against the Eagles, the Rams are looking like one of the strongest teams in the NFC ahead of Thursday night’s game against the 49ers.
Green Bay Packers: Despite missing three out of their top seven offensive linemen, the Packers were able to put up 40 points on Sunday night at Dallas, with Jordan Love throwing for 337 yards and three touchdowns.
It’s hard not to overreact to how the Packers performed during their two games before this week’s bye, but there were some positives in the loss and the tie.
Against the Cowboys, Josh Jacobs finally had his breakout game that everyone has been waiting for. He ran for 86 yards – 70 in the second half – and two touchdowns and led the team in receiving yards. Romeo Doubs had a breakout game of his own, catching a career-high three touchdowns.
While the offense looked great, it was the defense that surprisingly faltered against the Cowboys, giving up more than 300 passing yards and 40 points themselves.
While the offense sputtered in the Week 3 loss to the Browns and the defense fell apart in the Week 4 tie at Dallas, mistakes on special teams played a huge role in both outcomes. Against Cleveland, a blocked field goal probably cost the Packers the game. Against Dallas, there was a missed extra point and poor tackling in kickoff coverage.
It is not time to overreact in Green Bay. The defense showed what it can be in the first three weeks of the season, and the offense has looked incredible at times despite key players out due to injuries. With the bye coming up this week, the Packers have time to get healthy and come out even stronger.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Despite the loss to the Eagles last week, the Buccaneers have established themselves as strong contenders.
Baker Mayfield has put on a masterclass in taking care of the ball, only throwing one interception in 139 passing attempts while leading some clutch drives. Tampa Bay’s three wins have come by a total of six points.
Rookie wide receiver Emeka Egbuka has been better than advertised, leading the team in receiving yards with 282 and adding four touchdowns to establish himself as a top candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year.
San Francisco 49ers: The 49ers have jumped out to a hot start, battling through key injuries to start the season 3-1.
Despite playing multiple games without star tight end George Kittle, top receiver Brandon Aiyuk and quarterback Brock Purdy, and losing Nick Bosa for the season with a torn ACL, the 49ers might be 4-0 if not for allowing a punt-return touchdown against Jacksonville.
A lot of their success is due to their star running back Christian McCaffrey, who has 530 all-purpose yards and a pair of touchdowns. They have also been able to get the best out of Mac Jones, who threw for 563 yards and four touchdowns in the two games he had to step in for Purdy.
Seattle Seahawks: The Seahawks have made the biggest jump in the rankings, moving from a long shot to the top of the wild cards following three consecutive wins after dropping Week 1 to the 49ers.
Their offensive line improved against the Saints, allowing no sacks, but allowed three against the Cardinals last week. Sam Darnold has stepped it up, not throwing an interception the past two games, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba has looked great, averaging 100 receiving yards per game. Defensively, they are third in points allowed. It is their offensive line and their run game that is going to decide how far they go.
Minnesota Vikings: The Vikings stepped up in a big way against the Bengals in Week 3, turning them over six times and beating them 48-10. Playing for injured starter J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz was sharp against the Bengals and threw for 350 yards last week in Dublin against the Steelers, though two interceptions and six sacks were key in a 24-21 loss.
In that game, Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison reminded everyone that they are one of the best receiving duos in football, both having over 100 yards. The Vikings will be a threat if they get better play from their offensive line and more consistent play from their quarterback.
Washington Commanders: The Commanders lost 34-27 last week at Atlanta without several key players, including quarterback Jayden Daniels, who is expected back for this week’s game at the Chargers. Their offense has shown that it can be just as explosive as last year; now it is just a matter of getting healthy. The defense is where most of their struggles are, and it is what is going to hold them back if they keep giving up big plays.
Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys are an interesting team to try to rank. They have statistically the best offense in football, with Dak Prescott looking like an MVP candidate, George Pickens proving that he can be a WR1 and Javonte Williams looking like the player he did at the start of his career in Denver. Once CeeDee Lamb returns from a high-ankle sprain, this unit could hit another level.
However, they have the worst defense in football, with the Giants’ Russell Wilson, the Bears’ Caleb Williams and the Packers’ Jordan Love putting up huge numbers the last three games. At 1-2-1, the Cowboys won’t accomplish anything unless they address the glaring issues on that side of the ball.
Atlanta Falcons: If the Seahawks made the biggest positive jump in these rankings, the Falcons have fallen off the hardest. They showed signs of life last week against the injured Commanders, but you cannot be a top team in the NFL after losing 30-0 to the Carolina Panthers.
Chicago Bears: While they turned it around in the last two weeks against the Cowboys and Raiders, the Bears have looked relatively weak. Their defense has been bottom-10 in football, and their running game is almost as bad, putting a lot of pressure on their passing game that has been streaky at best.
Arizona Cardinals: After two close wins against two of the worst teams in the NFC, the Cardinals have dropped their last two games against division opponents. Last year’s first-round pick, Marvin Harrison Jr., has been on and off all season, and too many injuries to key players have ruined any chances the Cardinals had at making a deep run this year. They’ll host the Packers in a couple weeks with their top two running backs on injured reserve.
New York Giants: The Giants turned to their first-round pick, quarterback Jaxson Dart, to lead the offense, and while they won his first start, he was underwhelming, barely throwing for more than 100 yards. In an enormous blow to the offense and Dart’s chances for success, star receiver Malik Nabers, one of the most promising young players in the NFL, suffered a torn ACL last week. Without him, the Giants have little to no hope of making a run toward the playoffs.
Carolina Panthers: After their statement win against the Falcons, the Panthers came back down to earth and got steamrolled by the Patriots. Both their offense and their defense are near the bottom of the NFL, and Bryce Young is 23rd in the NFL in passing yards and 29th in passer rating.
New Orleans Saints: Once the consensus pick to be the worst team in the NFL, the Saints lived up to that expectation. They are 0-4, their defense is near the bottom of the league in points allowed, their offense is near the bottom of the league in points scored, and receiver Chris Olave, who is one of their best players, is fifth in catches but somehow not even scraping 50 yards per game.
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