Found July 16, 2012 on 60 Max Power O:
TEAMS: New York Jets

New York Jets games in 2011 were filled with turnovers – the Jets were tied for second in the NFL with 31 takeaways but also had the most giveaways in the league with 34. Turnovers are part of the sudden change aspect of the game. Unpredicted, games can turn at any time on a given play. Are turnovers truly unpredictable? Do the trends suggest that the Jets are in for an upswing when looking at the turnover story from the past few seasons?

Does a high turnover total for the New York Jets in 2011 – both forcing and committing turnovers – suggest that the team's win total will take an upturn in 2012? College football fans familiar with the work of Phil Steele know his theory on turnovers: teams with a double-digit positive difference usually win the same amount or less games than the year before and teams with a double-digit negative difference typically stay the same or see an upswing.

Three NFL teams had negative double-digit turnover totals (Denver Broncos, Indianapolis Colts, Pittsburgh Steelers) and only one team had a positive double-digit total (New England Patriots). The Jets aren't on the double-digit side either way. So where are we going with this?

Let's stretch the general principle out further. The same amount of forced turnovers with less turnovers committed typically means more wins. Can we realistically predict less turnovers committed by the Jets this year while forcing the same number?

Start on defense. In three seasons under Rex Ryan, the Jets have at least 30 turnovers each year. The Jets forced 31 in 2009, 30 in 2010 and 31 in 2011. That's unbelievably consistent and there's no reason to expect that to change. The Jets have upgraded their speed on defense and believe they will generate more pressure on opposing quarterbacks, plus the addition of LaRon Landry adds another playmaker to the secondary. That could cause an uptick in forced turnovers, but let's keep the expected number at 30.

Let's move to turnovers committed. Here's the last three seasons under Rex Ryan:

Year Turnovers Interceptions Fumbles 2009 30 21 9 2010 21 14 7 2011 34 18 16   This is where the epiphany hits. We have already established that turnovers are fairly unpredictable, but there are pre-cursors. For example, Mark Sanchez was a rookie quarterback in 2009, which makes sense when you see the inflated number of interceptions. In his second season, the interception total went down. The interceptions went back up in 2011 as the offense threw the ball more than they had in the first two years with Mark Sanchez. Expected, but four more interceptions isn't what threw the turnover differential out the window. Interceptions can be expected to go down once again as the Jets go to a more run-oriented offensive approach under Tony Sparano and Mark Sanchez has another year of experience under his belt.   Check out the fumble stats. The Jets lost as many fumbles last season as they had in the first two seasons under Rex Ryan combined. Fumbles can't be predicted, but having the same amount as the team combined for in the previous two years in a single season is a freak occurrence, and bad luck. The law of averages should clean that up in 2012.   Mark Sanchez was responsible for eight lost fumbles after losing just four in the previous two seasons. Improved work up front by the offensive line, a more run-oriented approach and an emphasis on ball security should cut down on that number. Also consider that two of the lost fumbles were by Antonio Cromartie on special teams returns. It's not the main ball-carriers for the Jets that coughed up the ball last season, which makes the high amount of fumbles even more of a freak occurrence – and less likely to happen again in 2012.   Is it guaranteed that the Jets will turn the ball over less while continuing to force a high amount? No, but all signs point to just that happening. Winning the turnover battle is a big step towards winning games, and the Jets gave up the most points off of turnovers in the NFL last season, but still finished 8-8. Look for an immediate turnaround in the turnover department in 2012 for the Jets, and an immediate uptick in wins along with it.   Also…

Be sure to check out other great articles at Sports Media 101.

var switchTo5x=true; stLight.options({publisher:''});

Santonio Holmes Talks Sanchez, Tebow and LT's Warning

Santonio Holmes did an interview on the NFL Network last night, most of you probably saw it and more of you surely know about the interview and what he said by now. I don't normally like to write a piece on someone else's interview that everyone has access to, but like Will McAvoy from the new HBO show The Newsroom, "I'm on a mission to civilize."This isn'...

New York Jets: Pass Coverage Still A Concern

The New York Jets defense struggled heavily when it came to covering the tight end last season. Basically, if a team had a good receiving tight end, they exploited the hell out of Rex Ryan’s defense. Jason Witten finished with 110 yards, including a 64 yarder. Fred Davis grabbed 6 passes for 99 yards. Brent Celek went off for 156 yards and a touchdown. Rob Gronkowski pulled in...

Jets West is a Wrap

Mark Sanchez’s Jets West Camp is a wrap.  There wasn’t much coming out of the camp like previous years and that was done on purpose.  This year it was top secret and Mark even went as far as to hire armed security guards to keep the people out. Some fans were able to go as contest winners and sit in watch the very private workouts. Some comments and tweets with pictures...

Jets not likely ready to play 2 quarterbacks

In the past, I've been accused of being a Tim Tebow hater, and that's not simply not true. He's a dynamic player, but I'm not sure he can be successful in a long term capacity as an NFL starter. Regardless of your personal feelings on Tebow as a starting quarterback, it's a proven fact that he can excite a fanbase like no other player in the NFL, and for the Jets...

Tim Tebow to draw lots of church groups at Jets camp

We all know that Tim Tebow has, dare I say, a magical way of drawing crowds. His Easter speech this past April had 15,000 folks flock to Texas, and his Father’s Day sermon in California saw a crowd of 26,000 gather to catch a glimpse of the quarterback. So, naturally, it comes as no surprise that the Jets are bracing themselves for when Tebowmania hits training camp just days from...

Has Santonio Holmes REALLY Changed his Ways? What does 2012 Hold?

Are you a Jets fan that believes Santonio Holmes has changed his attitude from last year (being a selfish WR Diva) and has turned the corner?  How can YOU be sure that we won’t get a repeat of last season? If Mark Sanchez is doing his thing and feeding Santonio the ball, I suspect everything will be quiet and you will see all smiles, but what happens if Mark struggles?  What...

Santonio Holmes doesn’t think a two-quarterback system can work in the NFL

Ir is highly unlikely that the Jets brought in Tim Tebow simply to be a backup quarterback or a contributor on special teams. As Rex Ryan and the New York coaching staff have mentioned, Tebow is expected to receive several snaps per game and be a big part of the team’s offense. He may be bluffing, but Ryan has made it clear that opponents should be ready for a dose of both Mark...

Darrelle Revis’ camp status is still uncertain

Getty Images According to ESPN’s Chris Mortensen via, the New York Jets can only wait and see if cornerback Darrelle Revis holds out from the start of training camp. “I think (the Jets) are going to see what Revis does,” Mortensen said. “He’s kept everyone guessing. I’m almost going to be surprised if he’s there day one.” I wouldn’t be shocked if Revis decides...

Santonio Holmes says that a two-quarterback system won’t work

Getty Images New York Jets wide receiver Santonio Holmes was a guest on the NFL Network via and said that having two quarterbacks taking the first-team reps won’t work in the NFL. “I don’t think so,” Holmes said. “Because you have to allow one quarterback to get in the rhythm of a game. And it starts from the preparation of practice.” Holmes believes...

2012 Training Camp Preview: New York Jets

Jets training camp previewTRAINING CAMP GOALS 1. Build chemistry. The Jets were a fractured bunch last season, with players sniping at one another and few players willing to step up and take on a leadership role. Coach Rex Ryan has tried to address the Jets' internal issues by acting in a more hands-on fashion behind the scenes and refusing to name captains, but the few weeks...

Santonio Holmes: Two QBs won’t work

Last night Santonio Holmes appeared on NFL Network, and stated that in his estimation, a NFL team can’t win using two QBs. “No, I don’t think so,” Holmes said. “You have to allow one quarterback to get into the rhythm of the game. It starts from the preparation in practice, knowing the first couple of [...]
Jets News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.