Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia

Originally posted on Louisville Cardinals on SI
By Matthew McGavic | Last updated Jan 2, 2024 6:00 AM ET

Louisville (5-7, 0-1 ACC) is set to face Virginia (10-3, 1-1 ACC) on Wednesday, Jan. 3 at 7:00 p.m. EST from John Paul Jones Arena. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

- Rankings:

	Virginia	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	RV/RV	NR/NR
NET	54th	259th
RPI	47th	315th
SOS	168th	265th
BPI	39th	247th
KenPom	53rd	183rd
Torvik	60th	202nd

- Team Leaders:

	Virginia	Louisville
Points	Reece Beekman (13.1)	Skyy Clark (15.4)
Rebounds	Ryan Dunn (6.7)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (9.2)
Assists	Reece Beekman (5.5)	Ty-Laur Johnson (3.5)
Steals	Reece Beekman (2.2)	Tre White (1.3)
Blocks	Ryan Dunn (2.2)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (1.0)

- Scoring:

	Virginia	Louisville
Points Per Game	65.8	74.5
Field Goal %	45.0%	41.8%
FGM/FGA Per Game	24.5/54.4	25.2/60.2
Three Point %	35.7%	29.4%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	6.5/18.1	5.4/18.3
Free Throw %	64.6%	73.8%
FTM/FTA Per Game	10.4/16.1	18.7/25.4

- Rebounding:

	Virginia	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	32.6	38.6
Off. Reb. Per Game	8.8	13.0
Def. Reb. Per Game	23.8	25.6
Rebound Margin	-2.8	3.3

- Defense:

	Virginia	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	56.2	73.6
Opp. FG%	37.8%	44.6%
Opp. 3P%	29.8%	28.7%
Steals Per Game	9.0	5.7
Blocks Per Game	5.4	3.3

- Ball Handling:

	Virginia	Louisville
Assists Per Game	15.6	10.7
Turnovers Per Game	8.8	12.6
Turnover Margin	5.8	-0.1
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.8	0.8

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 5.0 percent chance to win against Virginia.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 12 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 70-57 in favor of Virginia.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 9 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 68-56 in favor of Virginia.

- Personal Prediction: Virginia 69, Louisville 54.

This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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