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Contact! Saturday's Base Hit Builder

Originally posted on Athlon Sports | By John Laghezza | Last updated Jun 14, 2025 12:02 PM ET

More fun with numbers as I take you through today's best bets for a base knock. We'll isolate today's MLB slate's pitch-to-contact SPs and which hitters they'll face who've frequently put quality balls in play over the last two weeks (min 40 PAs).

LAST NIGHT'S THREE-LEG BASE HIT PARLAY CASHED, LET'S GO!

Today's SP Contact Targets w/+90% Zone-Contact & +44% Hard Hit Rates

CHW Mike Vasil — 93.8% Zone-Contact, 50.0% Hard Hit
SEA George Kirby — 92.0% Zone-Contact, 47.4% Hard Hit
ARI Zac Gallen — 90.4% Zone-Contact, 45.1% Hard Hit
STL Andre Pallante — 90.3% Zone-Contact, 44.2% Hard Hit

All Opposing Hitters w/+80% Contact, +44% Hard Hit & +.290 Expected Batting Average

Marcus Semien TEX — 48 PA; 81.5% Contact, 47.2% Hard Hit 0.333 xBA
Jose Ramirez CLE — 44 PA; 80.0% Contact, 45.7% Hard Hit 0.335 xBA
Manny Machado SD — 57 PA; 80.0% Contact, 48.8% Hard Hit 0.294 xBA

LAGHEZZAS LEANS:

Intentionally setting all the parameters really high on both sides of our base hit matrix left us with just a handful of results on an otherwise tremendous slate — but I gotta say I love every one of these guys for a hit today.

It sets a nice low bar to clear in a really difficult hitter market. Players only get a small handful of at-bats every game, where a couple of walks and a HBP could otherwise ruin your day.

TODAY'S ACTION: THREE-LEG BASE HIT PARLAY (+184) on Fanduel

Marcus Semien, Jose Ramirez, and Manny Machado

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This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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