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Hitter Prop Targets - MLB's Hottest Bats
Stephen Brashear-Imagn Images

The MLB season's such a marathon, it's easy to lose the forest for the trees in a massive sea of data. For example, a hitter (or team for that matter) can experience a horrid stretch of several hundred PAs, which will inevitably erode the larger statistical sample. So it's not to say we want to chase the hottest hitters, as much as be aware of already great players who are fully healthy and seeing the ball well.

Top-20 Hitters, Last 21 Days (min 40 PA)

  1. Cal Raleigh, SEA — 83 PA; 0.310 BA, 1.214 OPS, 26.7% Barrel, 0.497 wOBA, 11 HR
  2. James Wood, WSN — 75 PA; 0.306 BA, 1.029 OPS, 23.3% Barrel, 0.425 wOBA, 5 HR
  3. Ronald Acuna Jr., ATL — 51 PA; 0.333 BA, 1.056 OPS, 20.7% Barrel, 0.447 wOBA, 4 HR
  4. Ketel Marte, ARI — 77 PA; 0.339 BA, 1.129 OPS, 18.5% Barrel, 0.479 wOBA, 6 HR
  5. Michael Busch, CHC — 61 PA; 0.333 BA, 1.031 OPS, 17.9% Barrel, 0.440 wOBA, 2 HR
  6. Junior Caminero, TBR — 70 PA; 0.299 BA, 1.045 OPS, 17.9% Barrel, 0.441 wOBA, 7 HR
  7. Seiya Suzuki, CHC — 82 PA; 0.343 BA, 1.056 OPS, 17.5% Barrel, 0.437 wOBA, 3 HR
  8. Aaron Judge, NYY — 79 PA; 0.339 BA, 1.175 OPS, 15.9% Barrel, 0.477 wOBA, 6 HR
  9. Addison Barger, TOR — 71 PA; 0.313 BA, 0.958 OPS, 14.9% Barrel, 0.405 wOBA, 4 HR
  10. Jesus Sanchez, MIA — 71 PA; 0.339 BA, 0.987 OPS, 14.6% Barrel, 0.428 wOBA, 3 HR
  11. Bryan Reynolds, PIT — 73 PA; 0.339 BA, 0.957 OPS, 14.6% Barrel, 0.415 wOBA, 2 HR
  12. Brandon Lowe, TBR — 74 PA; 0.319 BA, 0.988 OPS, 13.5% Barrel, 0.423 wOBA, 5 HR
  13. Rafael Devers, BOS — 87 PA; 0.300 BA, 1.022 OPS, 12.5% Barrel, 0.435 wOBA, 5 HR
  14. Kyle Tucker, CHC — 74 PA; 0.339 BA, 0.968 OPS, 11.5% Barrel, 0.413 wOBA, 2 HR
  15. Gabriel Moreno, ARI — 54 PA; 0.373 BA, 1.094 OPS, 11.4% Barrel, 0.466 wOBA, 3 HR
  16. Willi Castro, MIN — 57 PA; 0.292 BA, 0.987 OPS, 11.4% Barrel, 0.425 wOBA, 4 HR
  17. Kody Clemens, MIN — 60 PA; 0.294 BA, 0.958 OPS, 10.5% Barrel, 0.413 wOBA, 3 HR
  18. Cody Bellinger, NYY — 72 PA; 0.323 BA, 1.016 OPS, 10.3% Barrel, 0.428 wOBA, 4 HR
  19. Starling Marte, NYM — 42 PA; 0.314 BA, 0.957 OPS, 10.0% Barrel, 0.418 wOBA, 2 HR
  20. Lawrence Butler, ATH — 86 PA; 0.351 BA, 1.077 OPS, 9.8% Barrel, 0.460 wOBA, 3 HR

LAGHEZZA'S LEAN:

Let the fantasy quants argue over thousand plate appearance samples before acting. When betting player props, it's a game of immediacy — I want to know my player's healthy and confident over everything else. You'll find my backing this list in any plus pitching matchup.

Thanks for reading!

If you're interested in upping your analytical game and finding out about my best-selling MLB/NFL Substack Betting Data page, don't be shy. Reach out to me via DM anytime on X @JohnLaghezza and I'll hook you up with a free trial.

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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