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MLB's 25 Hottest Bats — Hitter Prop Targets
© Peter Aiken-Imagn Images

The MLB season's such a marathon, it's easy to lose the forest for the trees in a massive sea of data. For example, a hitter (or team for that matter) can experience a horrid stretch of several hundred PAs, which will inevitably erode the larger statistical sample. So it's not to say we want to chase the hottest hitters, as much as be aware of already great players who are fully healthy and seeing the ball well.

Top-25 Hitters, Last 21 Days (min 60 PA)

  1. Aaron Judge NYY — 103 PA: 0.357 BA, 1.250 OPS, 53.4% Hard Hit, 19.0% Barrel, 0.508 wOBA, 10 HR
  2. Cal Raleigh SEA — 106 PA: 0.293 BA, 1.127 OPS, 58.1% Hard Hit, 21.0% Barrel, 0.464 wOBA, 13 HR
  3. Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL — 78 PA: 0.353 BA, 1.083 OPS, 60.9% Hard Hit, 17.4% Barrel, 0.460 wOBA, 6 HR
  4. Gabriel Moreno ARI — 60 PA: 0.351 BA, 1.068 OPS, 46.9% Hard Hit, 12.2% Barrel, 0.453 wOBA, 4 HR
  5. Ketel Marte ARI — 103 PA: 0.325 BA, 1.059 OPS, 48.6% Hard Hit, 17.1% Barrel, 0.452 wOBA, 7 HR
  6. Jose Ramirez CLE — 105 PA: 0.385 BA, 1.042 OPS, 46.5% Hard Hit, 8.1% Barrel, 0.443 wOBA, 4 HR
  7. Abraham Toro BOS — 81 PA: 0.368 BA, 1.027 OPS, 42.4% Hard Hit, 7.6% Barrel, 0.438 wOBA, 4 HR
  8. Jacob Wilson ATH — 96 PA: 0.402 BA, 1.023 OPS, 27.2% Hard Hit, 2.5% Barrel, 0.441 wOBA, 3 HR
  9. Willi Castro MIN — 74 PA: 0.333 BA, 1.020 OPS, 50.0% Hard Hit, 9.1% Barrel, 0.440 wOBA, 4 HR
  10. Vinnie Pasquantino KCR — 98 PA: 0.398 BA, 1.016 OPS, 46.1% Hard Hit, 6.6% Barrel, 0.445 wOBA, 4 HR
  11. Max Muncy LAD — 92 PA: 0.296 BA, 0.998 OPS, 61.4% Hard Hit, 17.5% Barrel, 0.425 wOBA, 6 HR
  12. Alejandro Kirk TOR — 85 PA: 0.397 BA, 0.993 OPS, 65.2% Hard Hit, 11.6% Barrel, 0.431 wOBA, 2 HR
  13. Jo Adell LAA — 84 PA: 0.254 BA, 0.989 OPS, 50.9% Hard Hit, 14.5% Barrel, 0.422 wOBA, 8 HR
  14. Rafael Devers BOS — 116 PA: 0.272 BA, 0.988 OPS, 47.9% Hard Hit, 12.7% Barrel, 0.420 wOBA, 7 HR
  15. Matt Olson ATL — 102 PA: 0.281 BA, 0.981 OPS, 57.6% Hard Hit, 22.7% Barrel, 0.412 wOBA, 7 HR
  16. Michael Busch CHC — 79 PA: 0.294 BA, 0.966 OPS, 51.0% Hard Hit, 19.6% Barrel, 0.411 wOBA, 4 HR
  17. Pete Alonso NYM — 106 PA: 0.287 BA, 0.965 OPS, 48.6% Hard Hit, 25.0% Barrel, 0.408 wOBA, 8 HR
  18. TJ Friedl CIN — 107 PA: 0.330 BA, 0.963 OPS, 26.3% Hard Hit, 3.9% Barrel, 0.419 wOBA, 4 HR
  19. Seiya Suzuki CHC — 108 PA: 0.312 BA, 0.962 OPS, 49.3% Hard Hit, 20.5% Barrel, 0.403 wOBA, 5 HR
  20. Will Smith LAD — 80 PA: 0.324 BA, 0.957 OPS, 39.0% Hard Hit, 8.5% Barrel, 0.413 wOBA, 3 HR
  21. Cody Bellinger NYY — 95 PA: 0.313 BA, 0.956 OPS, 42.9% Hard Hit, 9.1% Barrel, 0.406 wOBA, 4 HR
  22. Brent Rooker ATH — 114 PA: 0.324 BA, 0.944 OPS, 48.9% Hard Hit, 14.4% Barrel, 0.409 wOBA, 5 HR
  23. Lawrence Butler ATH — 112 PA: 0.310 BA, 0.934 OPS, 48.5% Hard Hit, 9.1% Barrel, 0.402 wOBA, 3 HR
  24. Bryan Reynolds PIT — 98 PA: 0.313 BA, 0.926 OPS, 54.0% Hard Hit, 12.7% Barrel, 0.402 wOBA, 3 HR
  25. Jeremy Pena HOU — 102 PA: 0.337 BA, 0.924 OPS, 38.2% Hard Hit, 5.3% Barrel, 0.404 wOBA, 3 HR

LAGHEZZA'S LEAN:

Let the fantasy quants argue over thousand plate appearance samples before acting. When betting player props, it's a game of immediacy — I want to know my player's healthy and confident over everything else. You'll find my backing this list in any plus pitching matchup.

HOT HITTER BASE HIT PARLAY 

Willi Castro, Jeremy Peña, and Seiya Suzuki (+172) on Draftkings

Thanks for reading!

If you're interested in upping your analytical game and finding out about my best-selling MLB/NFL Substack Betting Data page, don't be shy. Reach out to me via DM anytime on X @JohnLaghezza and I'll hook you up with a free trial.

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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