Highlights:
The San Diego Padres had their shot — and just like that, it was gone. A 3–1 loss to the Chicago Cubs in Game 3 of the Wild Card Series closed the book on another October cameo. For a franchise that has spent big, swung bold trades, and carried sky-high expectations, this ending feels a little too familiar.
Padres fans have seen this movie before. Big names on the marquee, shaky supporting cast, and the credits roll before you even get to the good part. Now, with winter on deck, San Diego has to decide if it’s finally going to fix the script or keep running sequels nobody asked for.
Here are the three biggest issues waiting for answers.
The Padres reshaped their pitching staff at the 2024 deadline, and those moves spill into 2026. Dylan Cease will be a free agent after 2025, entering his walk year. Michael King holds a 2026 mutual option ($15 million)that most expect to be declined, making him another likely free agent. Meanwhile, Joe Musgrove is working back from Tommy John surgery (Oct. 2024) and is not expected to be full-go until the 2026 season.
The club added stability when it signed Nick Pivetta to a four-year, $55 million contract, giving them a durable arm through 2028. Still, they’ll need to decide whether to retain Cease or King, replace them, or double down on external additions. With Musgrove’s timetable uncertain, this rotation is far from set.
The blockbuster deadline trade with Oakland landed Mason Miller and JP Sears, instantly reshaping San Diego’s staff. Miller looked electric in short bursts this October, his triple-digit fastball overwhelming hitters in leverage spots. He is not a conventional closer but profiles as a multi-inning fireman — a weapon in the Andrew Miller mold.
But questions swirl around the ninth. Robert Suárez has contract options that allow him to opt out after 2025, and industry expectation is that he will test free agency. Wandy Peralta also has rolling opt-outs in his deal, adding another layer of uncertainty. If Suárez departs, the Padres must decide whether to anoint Miller as closer or shop for another proven late-inning option.
The Padres’ offensive core — Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, Xander Bogaerts, Jake Cronenworth — is locked in. But balance around them is a looming issue.
Luis Arraez, who settled for $14 million in arbitration this year, is set to become a free agent after 2025. His on-base ability has been critical, but his long-term fit comes at a cost. Ryan O’Hearn, added midseason, is also on an expiring deal. Meanwhile, Ramón Laureano, acquired at the deadline, fractured a finger and missed the Wild Card series — another uncertainty entering the winter.
Replacing or retaining Arraez will define the Padres’ approach. Too much contact without power has been their postseason problem. A true middle-order slugger is still missing, and finding one should be near the top of the offseason agenda.
The Padres’ elimination underscored the same questions that lingered all year: Who anchors the rotation behind Pivetta? Who closes games if Suárez departs? And who supplies the missing thump in the lineup?
San Diego doesn’t lack star power at the top, but unless two of those three problems are solved, 2026 risks being another season defined by promise that fades in October.
More must-reads:
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!