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Strikeout Kings — K Prop Cheat Sheet, 6/13
Paul Rutherford-Imagn Images

As betting becomes increasingly ubiquitous, we've witnessed an ever-growing interest in player props, which are perceived as somewhat softer markets due to specialization and accessibility issues. When I started polling the audience for what data they'd like to see or had trouble scraping, pitcher props were easily the most popular answer.

I placed all of today's probable starters' 2025 strikeout and swinging strike rates next to their opponent, plus where that offense ranks against that handed pitcher in Ks over their last month of play. Then we'll pair our favorite picks for a pitching parlay.

TODAY'S PROBABLE STARTERS + OPPONENTS vs LHP/RHP:

  • BOS Garrett Crochet — 31.3% K, 13.6% SwStrk vs. NYY 22.9% K, Rank 13
  • LAD Yoshinobu Yamamoto — 29.6% K, 12.3% SwStrk vs. SF 21.9% K, Rank 16
  • SF Logan Webb — 28.5% K, 11.4% SwStrk vs. LAD 20.0% K, Rank 10
  • PIT Paul Skenes — 26.7% K, 13.7% SwStrk vs. CHC 18.6% K, Rank 4
  • CLE Gavin Williams — 25.2% K, 12.6% SwStrk vs. SEA 24.7% K, Rank 28
  • MIL Freddy Peralta — 24.5% K, 13.0% SwStrk vs. STL 19.7% K, Rank 9
  • MIA Edward Cabrera — 24.3% K, 10.6% SwStrk vs. WSH 18.4% K, Rank 3
  • TOR Kevin Gausman — 24.2% K, 12.2% SwStrk vs. PHI 20.7% K, Rank 13
  • HOU Colton Gordon — 23.6% K, 9.2% SwStrk vs. MIN 26.5% K, Rank 25
  • NYY Ryan Yarbrough — 23.1% K, 12.2% SwStrk vs. BOS 24.5% K, Rank 19
  • BAL Charlie Morton — 21.5% K, 10.3% SwStrk vs. LAA 24.6% K, Rank 27
  • CHW Adrian Houser — 21.5% K, 9.6% SwStrk vs. TEX 22.5% K, Rank 21
  • NYM Clay Holmes — 21.5% K, 9.7% SwStrk vs. TB 21.7% K, Rank 15
  • PHI Ranger Suarez — 21.5% K, 9.1% SwStrk vs. TOR 15.2% K, Rank 1
  • TB Taj Bradley — 21.3% K, 10.1% SwStrk vs. NYM 20.6% K, Rank 12
  • ATL Bryce Elder — 21.0% K, 8.4% SwStrk vs. COL 25.2% K, Rank 30
  • ARI Ryne Nelson — 20.4% K, 8.6% SwStrk vs. SD 19.5% K, Rank 8
  • SEA Luis Castillo — 19.2% K, 11.1% SwStrk vs. CLE 22.0% K, Rank 18
  • CHC Cade Horton — 18.9% K, 11.8% SwStrk vs. PIT 22.5% K, Rank 20
  • KC Michael Wacha — 17.9% K, 9.4% SwStrk vs. ATH 23.8% K, Rank 25
  • MIN Chris Paddack — 17.9% K, 9.1% SwStrk vs. HOU 20.4% K, Rank 11
  • CIN Nick Martinez — 17.5% K, 8.5% SwStrk vs. DET 24.5% K, Rank 26
  • SD Stephen Kolek — 16.8% K, 7.0% SwStrk vs. ARI 19.5% K, Rank 7
  • ATH Luis Severino — 16.6% K, 7.4% SwStrk vs. KC 18.0% K, Rank 2
  • LAA Jack Kochanowicz — 15.9% K, 9.0% SwStrk vs. BAL 23.0% K, Rank 23
  • WSH Mitchell Parker — 15.7% K, 9.4% SwStrk vs. MIA 21.0% K, Rank 6
  • DET Keider Montero — 15.2% K, 9.4% SwStrk vs. CIN 23.0% K, Rank 24
  • STL Erick Fedde — 14.9% K, 6.9% SwStrk vs. MIL 22.8% K, Rank 22
  • COL German Marquez — 13.9% K, 9.4% SwStrk vs. ATL 22.0% K, Rank 17

LAGHEZZA'S LEAN:

Yesterday's over K parlay fell flat — when Skubal's completing 7ip but not hitting 7Ks, you know you're running cold. Nice chance to get it back today (plus some) with a low expectation strikeout parlay.

Today's Action: THREE LEG STRIKEOUT PARLAY (+163) on Draftkings

Gavin Williams +5K, Colton Gordon +4K, and Charlie Morton +4K

Thanks so much reading, it's been so exciting getting to interact with all my new friends here at Athlon Sports. If you're interested in upping your analytical game, come check out my best-selling MLB/NFL Substack page. Don't be shy — reach out to me via DM anytime on X @JohnLaghezza and I'll hook you up with a free trial.

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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