
Tuesday’s MLB slate is bringing serious fireworks potential, and the home run prop board is stacked with elite power bats trending upward. Several stars are entering tonight on hot streaks, while a few others are overdue for one of those signature tape-measure shots.
Here are the five best MLB home run prop bets to watch closely on May 12.
Tucker’s first season with the Dodgers has been steady rather than explosive, but the power ceiling remains undeniable. Through 40 games, Tucker is batting .250 with four home runs, 20 RBIs, and a .739 OPS while still contributing on the bases.
The bigger picture makes this prop extremely intriguing. Tucker blasted 22 homers during his lone season with the Cubs in 2025 and produced a monster 1.130 OPS during his final Astros campaign in 2024. A hitter with that kind of power pedigree at +474 always deserves attention.
Rodríguez is putting together another elite MLB season in Seattle. The 25-year-old is batting .277 with seven home runs and continues impacting games with both power and speed after last season’s massive 30-30 campaign.
He went 2-for-4 with a homer against Houston on May 12 and now has three home runs over his last 10 games. Once Julio starts stacking multi-hit performances, the long balls usually follow right behind.
Rice is forcing his way into the AL superstar conversation. The Yankees slugger owns a ridiculous 1.113 OPS through 37 games while smashing 13 home runs and driving in 29 runs this MLB season.
Even more impressive are the underlying numbers. Rice ranks in the 97th percentile in barrel rate and the 98th percentile in hard-hit rate, showing this breakout is completely legit. After snapping a 0-for-13 skid with a two-run blast against Baltimore, he looks primed for another power surge.
Cruz has become one of MLB’s most terrifying matchup problems this season. The Pirates star already has 10 home runs and 15 steals through 39 games, becoming the first MLB player this year to hit double digits in both categories.
What makes Cruz even scarier is his improvement against left-handed pitching. After struggling badly against southpaws last season, he is now crushing them with a .340 average and .620 slugging percentage.
Murakami’s rookie MLB campaign has been absolute box-office material. The White Sox infielder already has 15 home runs through 40 games and trails only Aaron Judge in the league-wide homer race.
Murakami’s game is pure chaos in the best way possible. He strikes out a ton, draws plenty of walks, and launches baseballs into orbit whenever pitchers miss spots. His five-game homer streak earlier this season (plus that absurd 451-foot blast against the Angels) showed exactly why he enters tonight with the shortest odds on this list of MLB prop bets today.
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