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Wild Things — Walk Prop Data Drop, 6/9
© Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

As betting becomes more and more ubiquitous, we've witnessed an ever-growing interest in player props, perceived as somewhat softer markets due to access and specialization. When I started polling the audience for what they'd like to see or had trouble scraping, walk props were easily the most popular answer.

I placed all of today's probable starters' 2025 walk and ball rates next to their opponent, plus where that offense ranks in taking free passes.

TODAY'S PROBABLE STARTERS - June 9th:

  • LAA Yusei Kikuchi — 12.9% BB, 38.1% Ball, vs. ATH 8.6% Rank 18
  • CLE Luis L. Ortiz — 11.8% BB, 36.6% Ball, vs. CIN 9.4% Rank 4
  • BOS Brayan Bello — 11.6% BB, 41.1% Ball, vs. TB 8.0% Rank 23
  • ATH Jeffrey Springs — 10.5% BB, 38.1% Ball, vs. LAA 7.0% Rank 29
  • TOR Jose Berrios — 9.5% BB, 36.5% Ball, vs. STL 8.5% Rank 19
  • LAD Dustin May — 8.5% BB, 36.7% Ball, vs. SD 8.3% Rank 20
  • MIA Eury Perez — 8.3% BB, 36.6% Ball, vs. PIT 9.2% Rank 10
  • TB Shane Baz — 8.2% BB, 34.4% Ball, vs. BOS 8.8% Rank 15
  • STL Andre Pallante — 8.1% BB, 38.9% Ball, vs. TOR 8.9% Rank 14
  • SEA Emerson Hancock — 7.8% BB, 36.1% Ball, vs. ARI 9.4% Rank 5
  • ATL Chris Sale — 7.4% BB, 33.3% Ball, vs. MIL 9.3% Rank 7
  • SD Nick Pivetta — 7.0% BB, 34.8% Ball, vs. LAD 9.6% Rank 2
  • PIT Mike Burrows — 6.8% BB, 37.3% Ball, vs. MIA 8.0% Rank 12
  • MIL Aaron Civale — 6.8% BB, 35.3% Ball, vs. ATL 9.1% Rank 22
  • ARI Merrill Kelly — 6.3% BB, 35.7% Ball, vs. SEA 9.3% Rank 9
  • PHI Zack Wheeler — 6.1% BB, 35.0% Ball, vs. CHC 9.3% Rank 6
  • CHC Matthew Boyd — 5.7% BB, 33.1% Ball, vs. PHI 9.3% Rank 8
  • CIN Wade Miley — 0.0% BB, 433.3% Ball, vs. CLE 8.6% Rank 16

LAGHEZZA'S LEANS:

From a glance at our simple matrix, I'm expecting at least two walks from Luis L. Ortiz, Eury Perez, and Yusei Kikuchi. Conversely, I'd be looking for fewer than two base on balls from Aaron Civale. Word to the wise — don't force bets on short slates

Three-Leg Walk Parlay on DKSB (+210)

Over 1.5 BBs: Luis L. Ortiz, Eury Perez, and Yusei Kikuchi

Thanks so much reading, it's been so exciting getting to interact with all my new friends here at Athlon Sports. If you're interested in upping your analytical game, come check out my best-selling MLB/NFL Substack page. Don't be shy — reach out to me via DM anytime on X @JohnLaghezza and I'll hook you up with a free trial.

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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