Yardbarker
x
Power ranking the top 2020 NBA free agents
Pels forward Brandon Ingram, who'll be a strong candidate for a maximum-salary contract Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Always viewed as a weaker class than the 2019 or 2021 groups, the 2020 free agent class has taken a considerable hit in recent months, as many of next year’s most intriguing potential free agents have agreed to contract extensions, taking them off the market for the next several years.

Since the 2019-20 league year began, Draymond Green, Kyle Lowry and Eric Gordon are among the veterans who have taken themselves out of the 2020 free agent class by signing extensions. Meanwhile, almost every high-ceiling player eligible for restricted free agency in ’20 inked an early rookie-scale extension. That group includes Ben Simmons, Jamal Murray, Pascal Siakam, Jaylen Brown, Buddy Hield, Domantas Sabonis and Dejounte Murray, among others.

The upshot? An already-thin 2020 free agent list has thinned out even further. Still, that doesn’t mean there aren’t still several intriguing names among the players who are expected to be available next offseason.

Below, we’ve taken our first crack at ranking the top potential free agents for 2020. While this is our first extended look at 2020’s best free agents, it won’t be our last. Extensions, injuries, breakout years, trades and poor performances figure to affect these rankings over the course of the 2019-20 season, so we’ll eventually be revisiting the list to make updates and changes.

Our list reflects each player’s current expected value on the 2020 free agent market, rather than how we think they’ll perform on the court for the 2019-20 season. For instance, older players like Marc Gasol and Paul Millsap have strong short-term value but didn’t crack our top 20 because they’ll be 35 next summer and are unlikely to sign huge, long-term deals. In other words, age and long-term value is important.

Here’s the first installment of our 2020 free agent power rankings:

1. Anthony Davis, F/C, Lakers (player option)


Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

A three-time member of the All-NBA First Team, Davis is certainly worthy of the No. 1 spot on a free agent list, regardless of whether the class is weak or strong. However, he’ll be the only superstar on the market in 2020, and there are no indications at this point that he won’t simply re-sign with the Lakers. If that changes, it’ll make the ’20 offseason a whole lot more interesting.

2. Brandon Ingram, F, Pelicans (RFA)

One of the only top 2016 draft picks who didn’t sign an extension this year, Ingram is showing that he deserved one, with 25.4 points, 7.3 rebounds, 4.0 assists and a .522/.444/.741 shooting line through 10 games. As long as he remains healthy, he’ll be a strong candidate for a maximum-salary contract.

3. Andre Drummond, C, Pistons (player option)


Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

Although he has earned a couple of All-Star nods over the years, Drummond has generally hovered below the NBA’s top tier of centers. He’s making a case early this season that he deserves a spot in that group, with a career-high 19.6 points per game and a league-leading 17.0 rebounds per contest. He has even taken great strides to address his free throw deficiencies, with a career-best 69.4 percent mark so far in 2019-20.

4. DeMar DeRozan, G/F, Spurs (player option)

DeRozan could end up exercising his $27.7M player option for 2020-21, but he’s still just 30 years old and this summer might be his best chance for one last big payday. Despite the Spurs’ early struggles and his increasing aversion to three-point shots (he’s 7-of-49 since arriving in San Antonio), DeRozan is scoring as efficiently as ever, with a career-high .518 field-goal percentage through 14 games.

5. Gordon Hayward, F, Celtics (player option)


David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

Hayward, who is sidelined with a broken left hand, will need to finish strong this season to hold onto this spot or potentially move higher. But before that injury, he looked like his old self, averaging 18.9 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.1 assists on .555/.433/.842 shooting in his first eight games. Like DeRozan, Hayward is no lock to turn down his player option, since it’s a big figure ($34.2M) and few teams will have cap room to pursue him.

6. Danilo Gallinari, F, Thunder 

Gallinari is showing this season that his career year with the Clippers in 2018-19 wasn’t a fluke, as most of his per-minute rates are in the same ballpark as last season. Assuming he can play in at least 65 or 70 games this season and maintain those numbers, he’ll be highly sought-after by teams in need of a stretch-4.

7. Fred VanVleet, G, Raptors


Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

After his coming-out party in last season’s NBA Finals, VanVleet has carried that success over to the regular season, with 17.2 points and 7.6 assists through 13 games. He’s just 25 years old, and after starting alongside Lowry earlier this season, he has been proving since Lowry injured his thumb that he can handle the starting point guard job as well.

8. Mike Conley, G, Jazz (early termination option)

Is it an overreaction to Conley’s slow start to place VanVleet ahead of him? Maybe. Still, as Kevin O’Connor of The Ringer points out, Conley’s downward statistical trends, injury history and diminishing athleticism are causes for concern. If Conley bounces back, he’ll rise on this list. If he doesn’t, he may end up opting into the final year of his current contract and collecting his $34.5M ETO salary.

9. Bogdan Bogdanovic, G/F, Kings (RFA)


Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports

After a slow start to the season, Bogdanovic has been scorching hot over his last six games, with 21.3 points, 6.7 assists and 2.3 steals, plus a .530/.565/.933 shooting line. He won’t keep up that pace, but the 27-year-old is showing he’s a versatile option who can play multiple positions, score and set up his teammates.

10. Otto Porter, F, Bulls (player option)

Porter is no superstar, but he has been one of the NBA’s more reliable three-and-D forwards in recent years, with a .427 three-point percentage since the start of the 2016-17 campaign. Harrison Barnes is a good point of comparison for Porter — last summer, at age 27, Barnes turned down a $25M-plus player option to sign a four-year, $85M deal. Porter, 27 in June, could look to make a similar move with his $28.5M player option in 2020 if he has a good year.

11. Montrezl Harrell, C, Clippers


Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Viewed at the time as a throw-in in the 2017 blockbuster that sent Chris Paul to Houston, Harrell has evolved into one of the Clippers’ most important players and a legit Sixth Man of the Year candidate. The 25-year-old is establishing new career highs in points (18.9), rebounds (7.4) and assists (2.6) so far while making at least 60 percent of his field-goal attempts for a fifth straight season.

12. Serge Ibaka, F/C, Raptors

It may feel as if Ibaka has been around forever, but he’ll only be 30 years old when he reaches unrestricted free agency next offseason. And even though he has been relegated to a bench role in Toronto, his per-minute numbers suggest he’s still capable of being a starter and a solid rim protector.

13. Evan Fournier, G/F, Magic (player option)


Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Fournier is probably miscast as the primary perimeter scorer for a Magic team that lacks offensive creators. Still, his on/off-court numbers this season reflect his value to Orlando’s offense. The club has a 109.6 offensive rating when he plays, compared to a dismal 91.9 mark when he sits. Fournier will have to pass on a $17.2M player option to reach the open market, which isn’t necessarily a lock.

14. Derrick Favors, C, Pelicans

While Favors had long been a solid contributor alongside Rudy Gobert in Utah, the trade that sent him to New Orleans cleared a path for him to show that he’s a starting center in his own right. Injuries have slowed him in the season’s first month, but Favors’ performance in the Pelicans’ upset win over the Clippers last Thursday showed what he can do — he posted his third consecutive double-double that night, with 20 points and 20 rebounds, including nine offensive boards.

15. Marcus Morris, F, Knicks


Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

There could be several recently signed Knicks returning to the free agent market next summer, but Morris is the only player with a straight one-year contract, making him a lock to reach the open market. He’s showing in the early going this year that he can handle a larger scoring role (18.6 points, .455 three-point percentage), though any contending team that signs him will probably want him to be more of a role player.

16. Jerami Grant, F, Nuggets (player option)

Grant is capable of placing higher on this list, but the 25-year-old has struggled to adjust to his new home in Denver this season, with just 9.2 points, 3.0 rebounds and a .300 three-point percentage. At his best, Grant is a versatile three-and-D weapon who can play multiple positions. So far, though, the Nuggets have a plus-13.7 net rating when he’s off the court and an ugly minus-7.2 mark when he plays.

17. Tristan Thompson, C, Cavaliers 


Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Thompson likely wouldn’t have cracked my top-20 list during the preseason, but he has been impressive in his first 13 games. The 28-year-old big man is doing his usual thing on defense and on the boards (10.1 rebounds), and new head coach John Beilein has empowered him to do more on offense too — Thompson is averaging career highs in points (14.5), assists (2.2) and field-goal attempts (11.6).

18. Joe Harris, G/F, Nets

The Nets are off to a slow start, but it’s not because of Harris, who has once again been one of the NBA’s most dangerous long-distance shooters. He’s knocking down 43.2 percent of a career-high 5.7 three-point attempts per game this season.

19. Dillon Brooks, F, Grizzlies (RFA)


Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports

An up-and-coming three-and-D wing, Brooks is back in the Grizzlies’ starting lineup this season, and the team has played significantly better when he’s on the floor. Memphis has a minus-1.3 net rating in Brooks’ 381 minutes; in 296 minutes without him, that rating plummets to minus-17.0. He’ll also be just 24 years old next July, so a team that likes him should have no qualms about investing long-term.

20. Malik Beasley, G, Nuggets (RFA)

Like his teammate, Grant, Beasley would be higher on this list if not for his slow start. I expected Beasley to play a major role for Denver this season, but he has been a victim of an overcrowded rotation as of late, totaling just 19 minutes — with two DNPs — in the team’s last five games. On the plus side, he’s still making 40 percent of his three-pointers.

This article first appeared on Hoops Rumors and was syndicated with permission.

More must-reads:

Customize Your Newsletter

+

Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.