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NFL best bets: Early thoughts on the divisional round
Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7). Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

NFL best bets: Early thoughts on the divisional round

And then there were eight. We've got two NFL games on Saturday and two on Sunday to determine the conference championships. Here's what stands out on the board at first glance.

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens

Spread: Baltimore -9 | Over/under: 44.5 points

I for one have learned my lesson after backing the Browns in the wild- card round: C.J. Stroud is a legitimate star quarterback. The throws that this young man has been making over the past few weeks have been truly unbelievable, and Houston is playing like a team that knows it has nothing to lose and a bright, bright future. 

That's a dangerous team to draw in the divisional round for a Baltimore team that hasn't played its starters since Week 17. While the Ravens have been dominant this year and should advance, this game has all the makings of a close contest to us.

Bet: Texans +9


Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers

Spread: San Francisco -10 | Over/under: 49.5 points

Jordan Love is starting to prove that he's a flourishing quarterback with a chance to become a top-10 type passer in this league. The beauty of this Packers team is their loaded weapons on offense, with a different player able to be the biggest producer each week.

That level of variety should make it difficult for the San Francisco defense to gameplan against, and we're liking the momentum of Green Bay to keep this close against this rested Niners team.

Bet: Packers +10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions

Spread: Detroit -6 | Over/under: 48.5 points

Now this game should be fun. Both secondaries have major issues, which should have names like Mike Evans and Amon-Ra St. Brown popping up all week. Rather than back a spread pick here, we're thinking the best course of action is to simply enjoy the show and bet on touchdowns.

Bet: Over 48.5 points


Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills

Spread: Buffalo -2.5 | Over/under: 46.5 points

Patrick Mahomes is hitting the road for the first time in his postseason career, and Buffalo has won six straight games. It's time for Josh Allen to vanquish his white whale in Mahomes and Andy Reid in the playoffs and get the Bills one step closer to their first ever Super Bowl.

Kansas City knows what it takes to get to the big dance and shouldn't be doubted, but we're just liking the way Buffalo is plying more. The Bills took down the Chiefs 20-17 at Arrowhead a month ago to jump-start this postseason run; here's to an encore showing.

Bet: Bills moneyline (-140)

Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders. 

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