NFL Week 14 betting guide: MNF matchup still ahead

Monday Night Football: New England Patriots @ Arizona Cardinals

Spread: New England -2

Total: 43.5 points

Neither of these two teams get us particularly excited, but we think Bill Belichick will find a way to neutralize the impact Kyler Murray can have on this game. The Pats have won two straight and four of their last five against the Cardinals.

Betting: Patriots -2

New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills

Spread: Buffalo -10

Total: 43 points

The Jets beat the Bills 20-17 at the beginning of November, but we're not so sure they'll replicate the feat here in Buffalo in a massive game. Hats off to the Jets for being in the mix come December, but with the division far from locked up and the first round bye in the AFC up for grabs, we're liking the Bills to blow the doors off New York.

Betting: Bills -10

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals

Spread: Cincinnati -5.5

Total: 46.5 points

Joe Mixon is expected back this weekend, and it comes at a fantastic time, as the Browns have allowed the most touchdowns to running backs this season. Two games ago, Mixon scored five times, and last year against Cleveland, he scored twice. 

Betting: Joe Mixon TD (-135 PointsBet)

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions

Spread: Detroit -2

Total: 52 points

Load us up some TJ Hockenson on Sunday! The Vikings TE is returning to Detroit, the team that just recently shipped him off, and he gets treated to their defense, which has allowed the second-most touchdowns per game to tight ends. He's scoring.

Betting: TJ Hockenson TD (+180 DK)

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

Spread: Philadelphia -7

Total: 44.5 points

The Eagles are rolling on all cylinders and have regained our trust as a serious Super Bowl contender. They match up well with New York, who has issues on their offensive line and in the secondary. We'd expect another dominant defensive line performance from Philly, and Jalen Hurts should have no issues padding his MVP case this Sunday.

Betting: Eagles -7

Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys

Spread: Dallas -17

Total: 44 points

This is a lot of points. Yes, Dallas has been blowing teams out, but 17 points is such a massive spread to get behind. Instead, might we interest you in a Davis Mills interception? Mills is back at QB this weekend for Houston, and has thrown an INT in seven of his last eight starts (11 total). The Cowboys are always around the ball and should have no issues grabbing a few here. As of this writing, we don't see a prop up, but it will be by Sunday. Keep your eyes peeled.

Betting: Davis Mills to throw an interception

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans

Spread: Tennessee -4

Total: 41 points

We're liking the over here, as both the Jaguars and Titans defenses have really had their problems of late. The area to watch in particular are both secondaries, as each defense is prone to let up big plays and touchdowns from WRs. We'll load up that belief in the form of the over.

Betting: Over 41 points

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Spread: Pittsburgh -2

Total: 37 points

It's Tyler Huntley's time in Baltimore, at least this week with Lamar Jackson out. One common theme when Huntley hits the field is that Mark Andrews always produces. Last year, Huntley started five games, and Andrews put up 73+ receiving yards each time. Against Pittsburgh with Huntley, Andrews finished with eight catches for 85 yards. We'll take his over confidently.

Betting: Mark Andrews over 56.5 receiving yards (-135 DK)

Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos

Spread: Kansas City -9

Total: 44 points

We have to take the under here we just have to. Kansas City is one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL, but the Broncos are 11-1 to the under. It's a trend we will just keep backing, it hasn't steered us wrong in quite some time.

Betting: Under 44 points

Carolina Panthers @ Seattle Seahawks

Spread: Seattle -4.5

Total: 44 points

We see here two defenses seriously struggling to slow down the run, which should open up avenues for points all over the field. Over the past three games, Seattle has surrendered 205 rushing yards per game, and the Panthers on the season have been gashed on the ground weekly. Grab the over and load up a few running back TD props while you're at it.

Betting: Over 44 points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers

Spread: San Francisco -3.5

Total: 37 points

Similarly to Denver, it's become hard to ignore that the under in Tampa Bay games is just the most reliable way to look every week. The under is 10-2 in Buccaneers games, and with Brock Purdy under center, San Francisco may struggle to generate a ton of points. We'll back the second-most profitable trend in the NFL.

Betting: Under 37 points

Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Chargers

Spread: Miami -3

Total: 52.5 points

This is going to be an awesome one on Sunday night, and we like the Dolphins to win. Instead of backing that result, we'll put our money on the player we think leads that outcome. We've seen as the Los Angeles secondary has been leaking more and more explosive plays through the air, and this Miami passing attack is well equipped to take advantage. Tua Tagovailoa is over this total in five straight games, and we like him to go over once again.

Betting: Tua Tagovailoa over 283.5 passing yards (-110 DK)