
We've got Washington off a win and Denver off a loss, but it's the Broncos favored by the books to take this one at home. We may not have playoff-caliber teams on our hands here, but we do have an intriguing betting angle.
Washington Commanders vs. Denver Broncos: Betting Odds
Spread: Denver -3.5, Over/under: 39 points, Washington +150 | Denver -180
Washington won 20-16 late in Arizona thanks to a rushing touchdown from Sam Howell. The Commanders failed to cover the spread, they were the second-biggest favorites of the weekend at -7, and the betting markets have adjusted putting them as 3.5-point dogs.
The Broncos fell to Las Vegas, 17-16. Denver and Russell Wilson started off reasonably well, scoring 13 first-half points, but they couldn't get anything going in the second half.
Denver was 7-10 ATS last year, while Washington finished 8-8-1. Against the over/under, both teams hit the under far more frequently. The Commanders were 11-5-1 to the under while the Broncos were 11-6.
Both Washington and Denver faced what many consider two of the worst teams in football. Not only are Arizona and Las Vegas limited offensively, but everything suggests these defenses are going to be among the easiest to exploit throughout the year.
Well, the Commanders scored only 20 points on the Cardinals, and the Broncos mustered just 16 against the Raiders in a loss.
Now, these two offenses face each other, and the one thing going for both is that their defenses should be a strength in 2023.
It doesn't add up to a very high-scoring game from our point of view, and when you tack on two teams that hit the under far more often in 2022, the best course of action is to grab under 39 here.
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