The top NFL player prop bets of Week 3 and beyond

As a franchise, the Miami Dolphins are sinking, or "tanking" if you will, and one of their premier defenders, Minkah Fitzpatrick, wanted off the ship. The day after his Dolphins were blown out, 59-10, by the Ravens in Week 1, reports surfaced Fitzpatrick wanted out of South Beach as soon as possible. A week later, Miami granted the wish and traded him to the Steelers. Now it's Jacksonville's Jalen Ramsey's turn to demand a trade. After an 0-2 start and following a heated exchange with his head coach during last Sunday's game, the talented defensive back wants out and based on the current odds, Ramsey will likely be on a new team by next week. The favorites to land him are:

Chiefs +250
Patriots +500
Raiders +600

The Chiefs can rack up points but still need to upgrade their defense if they're going to build their own AFC dynasty.

All odds via BetOnline. Odds subject to change.

Odds: Patrick Mahomes (+100) | Lamar Jackson (-130)

Mahomes is averaging 410.5 pass yards per game with one lone rushing yard through two games, while Jackson is averaging 298 passing and 63 rushing yards per game this season. Lamar rushed 16 times for 120 yards against the Cardinals last week but still would have fell well short of Mahomes' Pass+Rush total had this prop run last week. I think the reason Jackson is the favorite here is because of potential garbage yards late with the assumption the Ravens are in rally mode to cover +6.5 points. I'm in agreement: Mahomes +100 seems too good to be true.

The Bet: Jackson

Odds: Over 210.5 (-115) | Under 210.5 (-115)

The Giants rookie quarterback takes over for Eli Manning and faces a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that held Jimmy Garoppolo and Cam Newton somewhat in check. The Buccaneers have allowed 235.5 pass yards per game. Although it often came against second-and-third stringers, Jones' preseason stats were impressive. His accuracy is most appealing when approaching this prop bet. My thought is the Giants waste no time unleashing their first-round draft pick, let him air things out and work the ball out to Saquon Barkley in the flat for some chunk plays.

The Bet: OVER

Odds: Over 1.5 (+150) | Under 1.5 (-180)

At 49ers -6.5 this weekend, it's hard to tell if oddsmakers respect San Francisco's defense, have little faith in Mason Rudolph or a combination of both. While it's likely the latter, do not sleep on the second-year quarterback out of Oklahoma State. He can sling it. Also, do not get too punch drunk on the 49ers big win at Cincinnati Week 2, as the 6.5-point spread may also be an overreaction to such a huge margin of victory over a team that will be picking in the top three come next spring. With a full week to prepare with the first stringers, and some nice juice +150, I'm backing Rudolph to toss two or more scores this week.

The Bet: OVER

Odds: Over 225.5 (-115) | Under 225.5 (-115)

For Teddy Bridgewater to work his way back from what was at one time believed to be a career-ending knee injury is commendable. However, there's a reason he was the Saints QB2 and not traded to another team to become a QB1 again. Perhaps, if this game were three weeks from now and Bridgewater had more time with the starters and it was a home game, I'd feel and bet differently, but this is AT Seattle. The Seahawks crowd is one of the loudest in the NFL and the last thing Bridgewater needs while he's trying to build a rapport with Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas; it is a lot of distraction. This O/U total pass yard spread would be more interesting around 210.5. Also, head coach Sean Payton has mentioned working Taysom Hill and Bridgewater as a two-QB system this weekend.

The Bet: UNDER

Odds: Yes (+200) | No (-300)

As was predicted, the Texans offensive line is a sieve and leaking all over its franchise quarterback. Deshaun Watson has been sacked 10 times in two games. Houston's opponent this week, the Chargers, has two sacks so far this season.

The Bet: This has push written all over it, but I'll go under with three.

Odds: Yes (+500) | No (-800)

For as talented as he is, Fitz finished his 2018 rookie season with two interceptions. He doesn't have one pick through the first two weeks. Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown one pick in each of his first two games. It's actually surprising to see these odds available.

The Bet: Sprinkle a bet on No

Odds: Yes (+100) | No (-140)

The 46-year-old kicker has missed two field goals and three extra points through the first two weeks. It got so bad that after the Colts win over the Titans, some of Vinatieri's postgame comments led many reporters to speculate that the veteran kicker was going to announce his retirement come Monday. He didn't, but he did say he's fighting some "demons" in his head. Will those demons check out by Sunday, or are we bound for another miss only this time at home against the Falcons?

The Bet: Yes

Odds: Patriots-Jets (-130) | Cowboys-Dolphins (+100)

Luke Falk should not be starting for an NFL team this weekend, and the same would apply to Trevor Siemian if he were healthy. If the Patriots put all their energy into stopping Le'Veon Bell this weekend, the Jets will be lucky to score seven points. On the flip side, for as terrible as Miami has performed the first two weeks, Ryan Fitzpatrick has created chicken soup out of chicken droppings in the past and can get "some" points on the board. The Cowboys lost one of their top receivers, Michael Gallup, for the next few weeks, which is one less weapon they have to build a big lead.

The Bet: Patriots-Jets with confidence

Odds: Yes (-150) | No (+110)

If you go by the odds juice of -150, it's more "likely" than "unlikely" that Manning retires after this season. This may come down to whether Manning wants to reboot his career in another city because unless Daniel Jones gets hurt, he's probably started his last game for Big Blue. It's hard to fathom with so many below-average and well-below-average backup quarterbacks in this league that he walks away so easily. If Manning wanted to extend his career another year or two, he would have the opportunity to do so. I don't think he thinks he's washed up.

The Bet: No

Odds: Yes (+300) | No (-500)

Big Ben signed a three-year contract extension just this past April. He's not going out like this. And even if Mason Rudolph turns Bart Starr over the next three-and-a-half months, Roethlisberger is not ready for retirement. He loves the big stage and big checks and said he wants to honor his contract. Roethlisberger won't walk away unless his elbow surgery and rehab don't go as planned. It's reported he'll undergo a Tommy John-like surgery, which will take a good amount of rehab before he returns to the field with the same arm strength we've grown accustomed to throughout his career.

The Bet: No

Odds: Before Week 11 (+150) | After Week 11 (-200)

Despite surviving four quarters at Carolina without throwing an interception after tossing three picks Week 1, one would have to think Winston's benefit-of-the-doubt leash remains short. What Winston does have on his side is the Buccaneers' lack of depth at the quarterback position. If he was benched right now, Blaine Gabbert and Ryan Griffin are the two backup quarterbacks. Those are moreso emergency backups should Winston get injured rather than "We're going to teach you a lesson by benching you. Watch Gabbert go out here and show you how it's done." There is little threat, but I still think Tampa's hand will be forced should Winston go on another interception bender and fail to take care of the football.

The pick: before Week 11

CK Odds: Yes +1500 | No -3000

I'm in the camp that if teams are willing to take a look at, sign and play Luke Falk in a regular season game due to injury, then NFL teams should be willing to look at, sign and, if needed, play Colin Kaepernick as their second- or third-string quarterback. The same quarterback retreads are not the answer should a QB1 get injured. Kaepernick said he wants to play. Give him a shot. 

Yet, if they haven't by "Oh my word, Luke Falk is the Jets Week 3 starter against the Patriots," will they ever?

TT Odds: Yes +5,000

Remember his days with the Broncos? Gosh, those were a roller coaster of emotion and indigestion, as we were spoon-fed heaps of Tebowmania every waking hour of the sports talk day. To be honest, I don't even know how this prop came to be worthy of odds, but Tebow's baseball career didn't take off like he expected it to and he's in game shape...so...  

The Bet: No / No

Odds: Ravens -130 Browns +150 Steelers +700 Bengals +3,300

With Roethlisberger out for the season, the door swings open wider for the Browns. However, the way their offensive line has looked through the first two weeks, they may slam the same door on their feet. Baker Mayfield has already been sacked eight times this season — tied for third-most. Meanwhile, we'll get a better sense of where the Ravens are this weekend at Kansas City. Baltimore has looked offensively explosive the first two weeks, but those performances against the Dolphins and Cardinals are diluted.

The Bet: Ravens

Odds: Kyler Murray (+200) Daniel Jones (+500) Josh Jacobs (+500) Marquise Brown (+800)

This prop bet is basically just a Public Service Announcement to wake up people to what Marquise Brown has accomplished during his first two weeks. After torching Miami for 147 yards and two touchdowns on just four receptions, the Ravens rookie out of Oklahoma caught eight passes on 13 (!) targets for 86 yards. This is not to knock what Jacobs produced against the Chiefs. The Raiders rookie running back average 8.3 yards per carry against K.C. At the end of the day, it'll be tough for either Brown or Jacobs to catch two guys who control the ball to start every offensive possession of the game, and to his credit, Murray has played above average the first two weeks.

The Bet: Murray

Odds: Yes (+600) | No (-1200)

After their Week 1 win over Pittsburgh, the "Yes" was at 12-to-1 odds. Now, it's 6-to-1. This is an oddsmakers' insurance policy. The AFC is now weaker without Andrew Luck and Ben Roethlisberger, the AFC East is marshmallowy soft, and although the Ravens and Chiefs look sharp to start, the hyped-up Browns have appeared sluggish out of the gate. Just look at that picture of Bill Belichick; look at his face. He just won 43-0 over the Dolphins. "The Hoodie" is on a mission, and 16-0 is just the start.

The Bet: Dear, Lord, please no, but ... maybe?