Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling (11). Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Two Super Bowl player props built on explosive plays

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated Feb 8, 2024 12:39 PM ET

Explosive play props, such as longest receptions and longest runs, can be incredibly exciting to root on. It takes but one play, and at any time the bet could become a winner. One deep pass, or one broken tackle, and voila, we've got us a winner.

As we look through the options in the Super Bowl for this market, two names quickly rise above the rest to consider.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling over 13.5 longest reception (-120 ESPN)

MVS has started solifidying the down-field threat role in this Kansas City offense of late. Over the past two games, Valdes-Scantling has three 30+ yard catches and he easily tops the Chiefs in average depth of target.

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That role is important to know here, especially when you consider that San Francisco has allowed three 20+ yard passes in both playoff games thus far. Prior to the postseason, this was a growing vulnerability for the Niners, who had allowed the 10th-most explosive passes per game over the past month and a half of the season.

This 13.5 line seems a tad soft for a receiver that is going to be working down the field and have Patrick Mahomes throwing him the football.

Christian McCaffrey longest rush over 18.5 yards (-120 BetMGM)

Expect to see nearly 20 carries for San Francisco's star running back in this one, and with that workload, a big run should follow.

Kansas City has allowed 4.5 yards per rush this year, seventh-most in the NFL, and allowed 2.3 rushes of 10+ yards per game, which comes in just slightly below league average.

While McCaffrey can slowly get 4-6 yards, he's also steadily broke off big runs of late. Over the past six games, McCaffrey has logged a 25+ yard rush five times. It seems only a matter of time before he gets loose into the second level of Kansas City's defense, so we'll lock in this 18.5 long rush play.

Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders.

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