NHL Predictions Ducks Edition with Seattle Kraken at Anaheim

Anaheim Ducks Storyline

Anaheim sits at 29-2323 and continues to outperform underlying metrics through execution. Recently, their finishing has spiked, particularly from the net front. Chris Kreider’s presence has reshaped their offensive profile, while Troy Terry’s return has improved puck movement. Additionally, the Ducks power play remains a clear advantage, converting without needing long zone time. Defensively, Anaheim allows volume, but Lukas Dostal has provided stability. Importantly, the penalty kill has limited second chances. If Anaheim maintains structure and clears efficiently, they can keep this within reach.

The Model

The blended model simulates this matchup 10,000 times using four evenly weighted inputs: five on five expected goal differential, special teams impact, goaltending performance, and rest adjusted game state. The in house model gives Anaheim a 53 percent win probability, reflecting home ice, projected goaltending, and the Ducks’ ability to manage low event games. MoneyPuck aligns closely at 53.3 percent, while HockeyStats is slightly higher at 56 percent due to Anaheim’s defensive suppression and finishing edge. After blending all sources and removing market vig, Anaheim lands between 54 and 55 percent, implying fair odds in the −120 to −125 range.

NHL Prediction

This profiles as a disciplined game. Anaheim will look to keep the score tight and rely on structure rather than pace, particularly at five-on-five. Seattle can control stretches territorially, but the Ducks have shown they can absorb volume and limit second chances at home. With goaltending and special teams tilting slightly toward Anaheim, the balance favours the Ducks late.

Prediction: Ducks win 3–2 (Model Probability: 54–55 percent)

2025–26 Season Prediction Record: 12–12

Prop Bets of the Night

This matchup points toward volume driven player usage rather than team totals. First, Jared McCann over 2.5 shots fits his role as Seattle’s primary trigger, especially with Anaheim allowing shot volume from the circles. Additionally, McCann’s recent stretch shows consistent shot generation regardless of score state. Meanwhile, Lukas Dostal over 27.5 saves aligns with Seattle’s tendency to generate quantity over pure slot quality. The Kraken have leaned into sustained pressure rather than rush offence, which inflates save counts even in tight games. Together, these props mirror the expected game script: steady Kraken shot volume, controlled pace, and a one goal margin.

2025–26 Season Betting Record: 28–23 (+8.21 units)

Projected lineups and starting goaltenders are based on available information at the time of writing. Please check official team sources prior to placing any wagers.

Please play responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.