ATP Shanghai Best Bets Including De Minaur vs Majchrzak

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/16-Finals

Auger-Aliassime – de Jong: 06.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Felix Auger-Aliassime has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played before the ATP Shanghai was at the US Open, where he lost to Sinner in the semifinals in a tight four-set match. This week, the Canadian won the opening match against Tabilo in straight sets. He saved all seven breakpoints.

Jesper de Jong has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, de Jong failed to qualify for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening main draw round, the Dutchman defeated Zhou in three tight sets, after playing for almost three hours. De Jong upset Mensik in the second round in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in the opening round against Tabilo. Earlier this season in Montpellier under similar conditions, the Canadian defeated de Jong in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.

That being said, Auger-Aliassime covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Majchrzak – de Minaur: 06.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Kamil Majchrzak has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Majchrzak defeated Quinn in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, Majchrzak demolished Nakashima in straight sets.

Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, de Minaur won the opening match against Ugo Carabelli in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Majchrzak is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated in both matches this week. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close.

That being said, Majchrzak covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/  the best odds: Kamil Majchrzak +4.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Shang – Borges: 06.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Juncheng Shang has won three of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Shang defeated Kovacevic in the opening round in three tight sets. In the second round, he upset Khachanov in straight sets.

Nuno Borges has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Borges lost to Fritz in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This week in Shanghai, Borges won against van de Zandschulp in the opening round in straight sets. After playing for over two hours, Borges won in two tiebreaks. In the second round, he defeated Vukic in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Shang enjoys playing at home. He played well against Khachanov. We expect him to be a better player tomorrow.

That being said, Shang winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Juncheng Shang winning @1.67 @bet365