Tien – Norrie: 06.10.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Learner Tien has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, the American won both matches in three tight sets. In the second round, Tien won against Moutet in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 4-6.
Cameron Norrie has won three of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, the Brit defeated Cazaux in the opening round in three sets. In the deciding set, Norrie served well, not offering any breakpoints.
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Tien has played many matches over the past few weeks and will be physically exhausted. On the other hand, Norrie is in solid form, and we expect his experience to prevail in this match.
That being said, Norrie winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Cameron Norrie winning @2.00 @bet365
Shapovalov – Lehecka: 06.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Denis Shapovalov has won three of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, the Canadian defeated O’Connell in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once in the opening set, Shapovalov served well and dominated throughout the match.
Jiri Lehecka has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Lehecka defeated Halys in the opening round in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints.
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Lehecka played his best tennis in the Davis Cup against Fritz and Tiafoe. He continued his form in Shanghai as well. He is a better player and we expect him to win.
That being said, Lehecka winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jiri Lehecka winning @1.57 @bet365
Zverev – Rinderknech: 06.10.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Alexander Zverev has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Zverev lost to Medvedev in the quarterfinals in straight sets. He was the finalist here in 2019. This week, Zverev won the opening round match against Royer in straight sets. He saved all five breakpoints. Last season, the German lost to Goffin in the fourth round in straight sets.
Arthur Rinderknech has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Rinderknech lost to de Minaur in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. This week in Shanghai, Medjedovic retired mid-match against the Frenchman in the opening round. In the second round, Rinderknech defeated Michelsen in straight sets. He trailed 2-4 in the second set, but won four straight games and turned the set around.
According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Rinderknech dominated against Michelsen and served well. Earlier this season at Wimbledon, the Frenchman upset Zverev in the opening round. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Rinderknech covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Rinderknech +2.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
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