Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 11/18/14
Everybody loves blind resumes. Fans love testing their baseball knowledge and we also love surprises. One of the biggest surprises this year came from the usually deep first base. Normally incredibly deep with power, only five first basemen hit more than 30 home runs in 2012, and none of those five players were taken within the first 15 rounds of most drafts. The following blind resume profiles two first basemen with similar stats, but not-so-similar ADP: (ADPs taken from MockDraftCentral.com) The stat lines are pretty identical here, despite player B receiving 62 less at-bats. Considered one of those few players who you could get after the big name first basemen were gone, Player A, Nick Swisher, put up pretty solid numbers for an 11th round pick. However owners who took a chance on Player B, Garret Jones, were rewarded with numbers that were just as good off the waiver wire. Looking ahead to 2013, Swisher has shown that he is a consistent source of power and RBI. 2012 was his 8th straight year recording at least 20 home runs, and playing for a team that scored the second most runs in baseball last year gives him plenty of opportunity to drive in and score runs. However, unlike most first basemen that cause you to sacrifice batting average for power, (first baseman hit just .257 in 2012), Swisher has shown that he can hit more than just home runs. Swisher’s expected stats, thanks to slash12 over at Beyond the Boxscore, show that his batting average was no fluke; his .269 xAVG and .319 xBABIP were just a hair under his actual numbers of .272 and .324. Swisher has shown not only that he can constantly produce solid power numbers, but a decent batting average at well. We don’t expect him to lose much value no matter where he signs so draft him accordingly. Jones, on the other hand, doesn’t have the track record that Swisher does. Any time a player puts up career highs in Rs, HRs, RBI, and AVG all in one season, it causes owners to worry that regression is due. However, the increase in HR/FB% (17.1% up from 11.0%) and the decrease in IFFB% (6.3% down from 8.3%) cause me to think that Jones has found his power stroke. Jones’s AB/HR% has been on the rise for the past three years, and he averaged a home run every 18 at- bats in 2012. The same expected stats that I used with Swisher show that Jones was unlucky in terms of batting average. His xBABIP and xAVG say that he should have really hit .299 with a .327 BABIP, opposed to the .274 AVG and .293 BABIP that he actually put up. Jones spent most of his time batting fourth in the Pirates lineup, so that combined with the increase in batting average should produce an uptick in RBI and runs. At the start of the 2012 season, Jones was splitting time with Casey McGehee; now he has a full-time starting job. As long as he stays healthy, I can definitely see him reaching 30 home runs and being a viable fantasy starter next year.
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Mayweather beats Pacquiao by unanimous decision

Manny Pacquiao after loss: 'I thought I won the fight'

Did Evan Mathis respond to Chip Kelly's slight with barb?

WATCH: American Pharoah wins Kentucky Derby

Report: Rams trade RB Zac Stacy to Jets


Falcons draft pick's house burned down during draft

Packers trade up to draft Brett Hundley

Greg Hardy apologizes for joke about 9/11

Mayweather bans Rachel Nichols, Michelle Beadle from covering fight

Five takeaways from Day 2 of the 2015 NFL Draft

Elite recruit Jaylen Brown commits to California

Clippers beat Spurs on Chris Paul shot in Game 7

Jimmy Kimmel's Manny Pacquiao T-shirt goes viral

Big fight packs airport, leaves no room for planes

Pete Carroll discusses Russell Wilson's contract status

Jim Harbaugh not happy Lou Holtz is out at ESPN

Cubs fans want Harry Caray video for seventh inning stretch

Winners and losers from the NFL draft

Brooklyn Decker expecting first child with Andy Roddick

Michigan using other programs' draftees to recruit players?

Texas staffer takes shots at Baylor, Texas A&M during draft

Rob Gronkowski wears awesome suit to Kentucky Derby

WATCH: Bryce Petty reacts to being drafted by the Jets

All Sports News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Winners and losers from the NFL draft

Report: Zac Stacy traded to Jets

Hardy apologizes for joke about 9/11

Jerry Jones sends letter to Pacquiao

Mayweather bans Beadle, Nichols

WATCH: A-Rod fights back tears

A-Rod hits 660th home run, ties Willie Mays

Mayweather vs. Pacquiao: Celebrities make their picks

Ryan Succop offers to arm-wrestle Marcus Mariota for No. 8

Laila Ali rips Floyd Mayweather Jr.

Peterson wants more money from Vikes

Chip Kelly just doesn’t care about defense

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.