The Four Factors were designed by John Oliver in his book Basketball On Paper as a way to statistically determine how basketball teams win games. If you haven’t read the book, do so yesterday. It is a precursor to all of the advanced statistics you see that dominate the conversation about basketball on websites like Statsheet.com, kenpom.com , Basketball-Reference.com, TeamRankings.com and scacchoops.com. There is a lot more in there besides talk of the Four Factors, but that’s what we’re going to concentrate on here.
BasketballReference.com has a great post that explains the Four Factors in more detail. Oliver deduced that the four statistical measures should be weighted as such:
Free Throws (15%)
In their post, Basketball-Reference.com disagrees with the weighting of the factors, but agrees that they are the most determinative in a team’s chances of winning a game. So, how did Duke do in the Four Factors against Georgia State and d...