Originally written on College Sports 401  |  Last updated 10/30/14
Murray State is the lone remaining undefeated team in Division I, which has historically been a good sign when accomplished by a non-AQ conference team.  As March approaches the question of what seed do you hand to Murray State comes to light.  The Racers are currently ranked 7th and could move up another spot or two if they win out.  Regardless if they move up or not, an undefeated Murray State team will finish the season in the top 10.  Usually one would think that an undefeated top 10 team is a lock for at least a three seed, but this year may be the exception to that rule.
Murray State’s conference, the Ohio Valley, is terrible.  Only one team besides Murray State has less than 10 losses this season.  And even with the bad conference opponents, lots of their games haven’t been decided until the last couple of minutes in the game.  If Murray State had two or three losses this season they would be a bubble team and might NEED to win their conference tournament to make it into the tournament.
But back to the figuring out what the Racers should be seeded; here is a look at some of the big factors the selection committee looks at.
CBSSports.com RPICurrently Murray State has an RPI rank of 39.  This is the RPI of a bubble team, not a team who is looking for a high seed.
Strength of ScheduleThe Racers SOS is 272.  The only team anywhere near them that is a top 70 RPI team is Harvard.  This number is the kill shot to any thoughts of putting Murray State above a four seed.
Quality winsMurray State has collected some decent wins in their out of conference schedule, having knocked off the two best teams in C-USA, Southern Miss and Memphis.  For Murray State to go undefeated they will have to beat St. Mary’s in a couple of weeks, which would be their most impressive win of the season.  It will also provide a big bust t o their SOS and RPI.
Bad lossesWell there would be nothing here.  But if Murray State loses one game their seeding will plunge to double digits most likely.
All things considered I would make an undefeated Murray State team a five seed.  I would be tempted to move them up to four as beating St. Mary’s would be impressive as well as finishing a season undefeated is, regardless of how bad your conference is.  It will be interesting to see what happens on Selection Sunday if the Racers show up without a loss on their record and how much the committee is willing to hold their SOS against them.
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