Originally posted on Phillies Nation  |  Last updated 10/27/13
Would it be worth the Phillies time to recreate this picture in 2014? Each day until free agency begins, we at Phillies Nation will take a look at a player who will become a free agent five days after the World Series’ conclusion. We will explore potential performance, fit, cost, and feasibility. We continue today with right-handed outfielder Marlon Byrd. And a reminder: you can check out all the “Pass or Play” posts by clicking on the category hyperlink above. Performance Raise your hand if you had Marlon Byrd hitting .291/.336/.511 in 2013 with 24 homers after facing a suspension for PEDs in 2012 with a .210/.243/.245 line in 153 PA. Byrd’s 2013 was among the most surprising by any player in the Majors as the 36-year old posted an All-Star caliber, four-wins-according-to-FanGraphs season for the Mets and Pirates. Byrd was clutch down the stretch for the Pirates, hitting .318/.357/.486, helping the Bucs win the Wild Card. Even in his worst years, Byrd has feasted on left-handed pitching, an area of opportunity for the 2014 Phillies to improve. Byrd is a career .291/.343/.461 hitter against lefties. The biggest question with the former Phillie essentially is when you offer a 36-year old a multi-year, $15-20 mil contract, will you be getting the 2012 Byrd or the 2013 Byrd? The one thing Byrd has lacked throughout his career is consistency – check out the chart after the jump for an illustration. Is a 36-year old player with that level of variance in play worth multiple years and multiple millions? Byrd has been so inconsistent that standard deviation indicates that you should expect him to contribute between 3.68 Wins Above Replacement and -0.20. That’s essentially a range of a fringe All-Star candidate to a player who likely shouldn’t be in baseball at age 36. Fit Considering the fact that Ryan Howard, Chase Utley, Cody Asche, Domonic Brown, and Ben Revere are locks to start and are all lefties and Jimmy Rollins had better splits last year as a lefty against righties, the Phillies are incredibly lefty-heavy, even more so than in previous years. While the Phillies search for the elusive “right-handed power bat” has led them down dangerous rabbit holes and likely got them burnt in a deal for Hunter Pence, Byrd has among the best splits against lefties among any free agent. Crazy isn’t it? Cost According to the awesome FanGraphs crowd-sourcing project, Byrd is likely in line for somewhere between $6-8 million per year for one to two years. Feasability Ruben Amaro loves veterans and Byrd fits that bill. Surprisingly, the biggest obstacle in signing Byrd may be Byrd’s desire to re-sign with the Mets or the Pirates desire to re-sign him. Byrd would be a good value play but he’d certainly be high risk: it’s uncertain whether the team who signs Byrd will get the fringe All-Star or the almost-out-of-MLBer. Verdict: Play, play, play! Byrd is a lower-cost option that the Phillies should genuinely consider, even if it means signing him on a two year pact. I would not go over two years for Byrd but his career splits are good enough that he would serve his purpose and then some even if he performed somewhere in the middle of his career averages.  
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Jameis Winston awarded Pepsi NFL rookie of the Year

Trade Rumors: Clippers ‘reluctant’ to deal injured Blake Griffin

Bright future for Minnesota Timberwolves

Eli and Archie Manning say Peyton won’t likely leave Denver if he plays in 2016

NCAA mulls changes to graduate transfer and targeting rules

Cavs active in NBA trade market, covet Jared Dudley

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Roger Goodell expectedly dodges Patriots-related questions at Super Bowl

Baltimore Orioles acquire starting pitcher Odrisamer Despaigne

USC athletic director Pat Haden to retire in June

Report: Browns owner ‘frustrated, emotional’ about Johnny Manziel

Raiders and Texans to play MNF game in Mexico City in 2016

Goodell wants to keep Raiders, Chargers in home markets

Kirk Cousins says he has ‘very good relationship’ with RG3

Super Bowl 50 ticket prices are insane

Take a moment to appreciate the greatness of Cam Newton

4-Star 2018 quarterback Matt Corral commits to USC

QUIZ: Name every NFL regular season MVP

WATCH: Avery Bradley nails buzzer beater to beat Cavs

WATCH: Jimmy Butler taken to locker room in wheel chair

Klay Thompson's first five years in historical context

WATCH: Cubs' Kris Bryant went swimming with sharks

Sports Authority taking steps to file for bankruptcy

Major League Baseball threatens to disassociate from DraftKings

NFL considering moving Pro Bowl to Australia

Joe Montana warns NFL players about potential long-term damage after retirement

All Sports News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

The 14 biggest plays in Super Bowl history

Five outrageous predictions for Super Bowl 50

QUIZ: Name the winning starting quarterback from every Super Bowl

The top six matchups that could decide Super Bowl 50

Seven unheralded players set to make major impacts in SB 50

10 underrated performances in the NBA Slam Dunk Contest

X-factors in Super Bowl 50

NHL nightmare: No Canadian teams in playoff hunt

QUIZ: Name the Super Bowl halftime performers since 1991

Manziel's father fears for QB's life

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker