Originally posted on The Pass Rush  |  Last updated 10/5/12


Week 6 Picks:

1. Utah State (+6.5) vs. BYU: I am just not convinced by the play of BYU so far this year. USt is 5-0 ats so far this year and has been very competitive in every game. Further, this an in-state rivarly game that should bring the best out of USt. USt has one of the best defenses in the country so far this year. BYU is starting a freshman QB tonight, who has actually faired better with the offense so far this year than their regular starter. However, I still think both teams stick to the running game as the primary source of offense. I just think USt is the better team right now and I will take the points here. Play on USt +6.5 for 1 unit.

2. Vanderbilt at MISSOURI (-7): I think Missouri is finally on the right track and are set for a big blowout win. I know most bettors don’t like the term “due,” but Missouri is due. They have talent, have been injured, but are getting healthier each week. I think they had a huge win over UCF last week as they were in a very difficult spot to come away with a win. Their QB is starting to get healthier each week. On the other hand, this is a tough spot for Vandy, a team I believe is on the ropes. Vandy has not scored more than 13 points against any Division 1 school so far this year. Vandy is playing their second road game in as many weeks and have to be beat up after last week’s game against Georgia. I just think this is great spot for Missouri to come out and play really well. Play on Missouri for 2 units.

3. Florida State at NC State (+17): I think NC State presents some tough match-ups for FSU’s defense, much like Clemson did. FSU is playing their second road game in as many weeks, their first outside of the state of Florida. NC State comes off a tough loss to Miami, but O’Brien is a very successful coach against the spread, especially as a home dog. Look for NC State to play really well in this big matchup with FSU. Play on NC State for 1 unit.

4. Miami at Notre Dame (-14): I am taking a shot with ND here, but I have concerns about their offense’s ability to score. ND’s D has been lights out. Miami is traveling north to colder weather and playing at night at Soldier Field. ND fans will pack that stadium, so it should be a big time home field advantage for them. Miami comes off the tough win over NC State and ND is coming off a bye. If you remember last year, ND played unreal after the bye last year, so you have to believe Kelly will have this team ready. If ND can score then its lights out in a big win over Miami. Play on ND for 1 unit.

GOOD LUCK.

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