Originally posted on College Spun  |  Last updated 3/18/13
Nate Silver jumped to national prominence over the past year when he predicted a winner in the Presidential Election despite a close race. Silver loves numbers and finds a way to give odds on almost anything. Silver is rarely wrong. Still, the NCAA Tournament is hard to predict.  Silver took to Twitter to predict the odds that different teams would make the Final Four:  Midwest Final 4 Odds: Louisville 53%, Duke 18%, MSU 11%, St Louis 5%, Creighton 3%, Mizzou 3%, Memphis 2%, OK St. 2% — Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) March 18, 2013 South Final 4 Odds: Florida 37%, Kansas 32%, Michigan 13%, Georgetown 7%, VCU 3%, Minnesota 2%, UNC 2% — Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) March 18, 2013 East Final 4 Odds: Indiana 51%, Syracuse 12%, Miami 11%, Marquette 6%, NC St. 5%, Butler 3%, UNLV 3% — Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) March 18, 2013 West Final 4 Odds: Gonzaga 33%, Ohio St. 25%, Wisconsin 9%, N Mex 9%, Arizona 8%, K-State 5%, Pitt 5%, Notre Dame 2% — Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) March 18, 2013 Based on these tweets, Silver’s Final Four has the best chance to be made up of Gonzaga, Indiana, Florida and Louisville. It looks like the West and South regions are the most wide-open. Ohio State is close behind Gonzaga while Kansas is right on Florida’s tail.  Georgetown, at just seven percent, has the worst odds out of any two-seed. Syracuse is the lowest seed (4) in the top-two spots of a bracket, sitting in front of the two seed, Miami, and the three seed, Marquette. 
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