Since this data has been available, every team that has fulfilled three specific advanced metrics has gone on to win the national championship.
Yes, every single March Madness for the last four seasons.
This is courtesy of my colleague Ryan Collinsworth, who developed this dataset.
Teams with the following metrics have won each identifiable NCAA men's college basketball championship. The data below is according to Ken Pomeroy.
This season, eight teams fit those metrics. The following teams are listed in order of highest to lowest, according to Adjusted Efficiency Margin.
The highest ranked team to not make this list? Duke, which clocks in as the No. 9 best team, according to KenPom. The Blue Devils aren't a part of this list on account of their 97.0 adjusted defense, which is 0.8 of a point too high for this historic metric.
The following are the best market prices as of Sunday night for each future on each of the aforementioned teams.
Personally, we'll be betting every single one of these markets. Do keep in mind that if the market goes chalk — with UConn or Houston winning it all — you'd lose a small amount. But, of course, if one of the other five teams wins, you'd win a handsome amount of units.
Out of these eight teams UConn, Iowa State and Auburn share a side in the bracket. Houston stands alone. Purdue and Tennessee are in the same region. And North Carolina and Arizona share a region, too.
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