go to MSN.com
Found February 12, 2013 on Midwest Sports Fans:

Via Midwest Sports Fans:

There seems to be a lot of hand-wringing about this being a down year for college hoops.

If you define the season by whether or not there is a truly dominant team, I guess that’s a fair statement. If you define the season by sheer entertainment value, however, this one has been pretty darn good.

The same kinds of upsets that are celebrated during the NCAA tournament are somehow being used as an indictment of the 2012-13 season, but I have no complaints about such an unpredictable year.

Well, maybe one.

It makes putting together these bracket projections increasingly difficult, because it feels like virtually everyone lost last week. Throw in oddball profiles such as the one Virginia is building, and this becomes a tall order each Monday night.

Maybe now that we are less than five weeks from Selection Sunday, things will start to sort themselves out. But with the way this season has gone, I doubt it.

The projections below take into account all games played through Monday, Feb. 11.

Last Four In

Saint Mary’s

The Gaels just need to keep winning, and unlike many of their bubble brethren, they are doing just that.

Thursday begins a critical 10-day stretch that features home dates with Gonzaga, BYU and Creighton, with a road trip to Loyola Marymount squeezed in the middle. Going 3-1 in that stretch would give Saint Mary’s a little breathing room. Anything less and things start to get dicey.

Indiana State

Last week’s win against Creighton gave the Sycamores their fourth win against an RPI top 50 team, and they avoided another brutal loss with a one-point victory over Southern Illinois on Saturday.

The neutral court win over a Reggie Johnson-less Miami squad looks better with each passing week, but three losses against sub-150 RPI teams still have ISU in a tenuous position.

For this week, the Sycamores need to avoid road slip-ups against Missouri State and Bradley.

Baylor

At this point, the Bears have just one win against the RPI top 45, have lost three of four, and have beaten one tournament-caliber team since early December. Their November win over St. John’s is useful for bubble purposes, but that won’t be enough if they can’t start getting wins.

Baylor needs to take care of business at home against West Virginia before a tough road test at Kansas State.

Boise State

The fact that Jeff Elorriaga missed three of their conference losses helps, but he also hasn’t been particularly productive since returning. As it stands, the Broncos are below .500 in the Mountain West with road games left at New Mexico and UNLV as well as home dates with Colorado State and San Diego State.

If they can win their three other conference games and split those four, their profile would look pretty good. Anything less and they are in serious trouble.

First Five Out

Virginia

The Cavaliers have the most confounding profile I can remember in recent years (or maybe ever).

On one hand, they are 6-0 against the RPI top 100 with home wins against North Carolina and North Carolina State and road victories over Wisconsin and Maryland. On the other hand, all six losses have come to teams ranked 120th or lower in the RPI, including to sub-300 Old Dominion.

You can’t overlook the good wins or the bad losses, which lands the Cavs directly on the fence without much historical precedent for how the committee may treat them. The next few weeks will be telling with road trips to UNC and Miami as well as a home game against Duke.

Arizona State

Saturday’s home loss to Stanford pushed the Sun Devils out of the field. They have four top-100 wins at this point and just one sub-100 loss — a 17-point home defeat to DePaul. The biggest issue is that nine of their 18 Division I wins have come against sub-200 squads.

With five of ASU’s final seven games on the road, it will be an uphill battle for Herb Sendek’s club. The Sun Devils certainly can’t afford to lose at Utah this week and would be well-served to steal one at Colorado over the weekend.

St. John’s

The Red Storm have won six of their past eight games, including wins over Notre Dame and UConn. However, nonconference losses to San Francisco and UNC-Asheville loom large, as does a disappointing home loss to Rutgers. Similar to ASU, St. John’s has racked up seven of its 15 wins over sub-190 teams.

The remaining Big East schedule will tell the tale, with four games against teams in the RPI top 50 (at Louisville, Pittsburgh, at Notre Dame, Marquette) and a road trip to Providence sprinkled in.

Villanova

After a home loss to Providence, the Wildcats held serve last week by beating DePaul and South Florida, but neither win really moves the needle for their NCAA hopes.

Victories over Louisville and Syracuse obviously hold a lot of weight, but their next best wins are against St. John’s and St. Joseph’s. Unfortunately, those are somewhat offset by an 18-point loss to Columbia and the fact they were swept by Providence.

This is a huge week for ’Nova with road trips to Cincinnati and UConn on tap.

Massachusetts

The Minutemen are quietly 6-3 in the A-10, with two of those losses coming by a combined four points. They are also 6-2 in true road games, but the wins at Northeastern and La Salle are the only ones that hold much weight. UMass is 5-5 against the RPI top 100, but losses against Tennessee in Puerto Rico and at home vs. George Washington certainly don’t help the cause.

Much like Villanova, the Minutemen have a pair of important games this week as they travel to VCU before hosting Temple on Saturday.

Here is how the bids broke out by conference:

Big East (7): Cincinnati, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse

Big Ten (7): Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Ohio State, Wisconsin

Big 12 (6): Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State

Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, La Salle, Saint Louis, Temple, VCU

Mountain West (5): Boise State, Colorado State, New Mexico, San Diego State, UNLV

Pac-12 (4): Arizona, Colorado, Oregon, UCLA

ACC (4): Duke, Miami (FL), North Carolina, North Carolina State

SEC (4): Florida, Kentucky, Missouri, Ole Miss

Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Indiana State, Wichita State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s

America East: Vermont

Atlantic Sun: Florida Gulf Coast

Big Sky: Montana

Big South: UNC-Asheville

Big West: Long Beach State

Colonial: Northeastern

Conference USA: Memphis

Horizon: Valparaiso

Ivy: Princeton

MAAC: Niagara

MAC: Akron

MEAC: North Carolina Central

Northeast: Bryant

Ohio Valley: Belmont

Patriot: Bucknell

Southern: Davidson

Southland: Stephen F. Austin

Summit: Western Illinois

Sun Belt: Middle Tennessee

SWAC: Southern

WAC: Louisiana Tech

THE BACKYARD
Broncos News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

RUMORS & GOSSIP

Oklahoma 5-star RB suspended during assault investigation

While we still aren’t quite sure what happened between Oklahoma freshman running back Joe Mixon and a student named Amelia Rae Molitor last Friday morning, we do now know that the Sooner football player has been suspended from team activities while the police continue to investigate the matter. According to numerous sources, the school is expected to officially announce the news...
Via College Spun
3 hours ago

Oklahoma kicker has the best playbook

Many football teams are now foregoing the classic hard-copy playbook for iPads, which are lighter and save on huge printing cost, among other handy features. Earlier today, we took a look at Georgia’s new iPads (and a whole host of USB cables). Apparently Oklahoma has also joined in on the iPad trend. Of course, not everyone’s playbook is made equal. OU kicker Michael Hunnicutt...
Via College Spun
2 hours ago

Antonio Brown not happy with ex-teammate's QB comments

Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown is not happy with ex-teammate Emmanuel Sanders for his comments made about Ben Roethlisberger. Sanders, who spent four seasons with the Steelers before signing with the Broncos in March, compared his new quarterback with his old quarterback and enumerated the ways Peyton Manning is a better leader than Big […]
Via Larry Brown Sports
4 hours ago

WWE star Sheamus rumored to be playing major Star Wars role

It looks like another WWE superstar could land in a mega-hit that has nerd alert written all over it.  Yes, Sheamus may be playing the role of Darth Vader in the upcoming Star Wars Episode 7 which is currently slated to hit theaters on December 18, 2015. Wow. Today’s edition of the Irish Daily Mirror has an article theorizing that the Celtic Warrior could be playing the Lord Sith...
Via Between The Ropes
8 hours ago

Report: Winston detained by police at gunpoint in 2012

Jameis Winston was detained by police at gunpoint in a 2012 incident for carrying a firearm on campus.
Via Gamedayr
8 hours ago

Chip Kelly takes subtle jab at ex-Eagle DeSean Jackson

(Credit: phillysportslive.com) There are questions surrounding the Philadelphia Eagles in regards to how they plan to replace wide receiver DeSean Jackson, who was released then subsequently signed by division rival Washington Redskins. Head coach Chip Kelly pulled no punches when answering those questions: “I think most people played us in single high (safety) coverage and they...
Via Sports-Kings
9 hours ago

Steve Smith, Joe Flacco using Starbucks to build rapport?

In Carolina, Steve Smith told Aqib Talib to "ice up, son." In Baltimore, he's telling Joe Flacco, "iced coffee, son." Buried at the bottom of Peter King's latest MMQB column is an interesting nugget about how Smith and Flacco are developing chemistry in training camp. Take it away, Peter ... They wager $25 Starbucks cards when they disagree on on...
Via Helmet2Helmet
9 hours ago

Twins sign 240-pound undrafted pitcher with 100-MPH fastball

SAN FRANCISCO — In one of their craziest scouting experiences, the Minnesota Twins have reached a deal with a 24-year-old pitching prospect who has thrown 100 mile per hour fastballs but has never been drafted. Brandon Poulson was pitching earlier this month for the Healdsburg Prune Packers in a collegiate summer league. His manager was Joey Gomes, the brother of big leaguer Jonny...
Via NESN.com
10 hours ago

Jerry Jones says Tony Romo is 100 percent healthy

There are plenty of question marks for the Dallas Cowboys entering the 2014 season, but Jerry Jones doesn’t want Tony Romo’s health to be one of them. Jones told Charean Williams of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram that his $100 million quarterback, Tony Romo is 100% healthy. “He is 100 percent. He’s 100 percent,” Jones said during practice […]
Via Full Scale Sports
13 hours ago

Sherman takes jab at Peterson after Cardinals CB's extension

Patrick Peterson announced on Tuesday night that he has signed a five-year, $70 million contract extension with the Arizona Cardinals. This next piece of information may shock you — Richard Sherman did not congratulate him. Peterson’s deal, which he says includes $48 million guaranteed, is one year longer than the four-year, $56 million extension Sherman […]
Via Larry Brown Sports
12 hours ago
Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.