Odds Courtesy of PointsBet, subject to change*

Match Details

• Fixture: Ball State vs Bowling Green
• Date and Time: November 1, 2023 at 7:00 p.m. EST
• Location:  Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH
• Weather Forecast: Partially Cloudy, 35 degrees

Key Stats

Ball State

Ball St. is not a good offensive team, as they average 295 yards of total offense per game. This mark ranks 127th out of the 133 FBS schools. In their win last week, they did generate more offense, but consistency will be key. The Cardinals also rank 120th in passing yards and 91st in rushing yards, so it’s hard to trust them to be effective at moving the ball.

On defense, the Cardinals have been subpar, particularly versus the pass. Over the last few weeks, their pass defense has been slightly better, but they still give up more yards than the nationwide average.

Bowling Green

The Falcons aren’t great offensively either, and their aerial attack is weaker than their run game. BGSU ranks 124th in passing yards and 115th in passing attempts. Over their last three games, the Falcons have averaged around 80 passing yards, but their ground game has excelled. Last week, they tallied 214 rushing yards, and 223 the week before.

Defensively, BGSU is mediocre, but teams haven’t really thrown the ball much against them. They allow only 195 passing yards per game on 25.9 attempts, which are really low totals to give up. The fact that they’re not on the field that much shows how good they’ve been at forcing turnovers and forcing short drives.

Game Prediction

Bowling Green averages 2.5 turnovers forced per game, and they’ve forced nine over their previous two. Ball St. has struggled on the road, but they have covered each of their last two games. Still, the Falcons should control this game at home enough to cover.

Pick: Bowling Green -5 (-110)

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About the Author

Lucas Abrenica has worked as a sports betting writer for over three years, with the aim of helping both experienced and casual sports bettors in their decision-making. He uses his own personal background as a bettor to help guide the information and advice in his articles.