2024 Kentucky Derby weather forecast: Rain could impact Saturday’s race

The Kentucky Derby is one of the biggest sporting events of the year, though horse racing fans and bettors might have to worry about wet weather for Saturday's "Run for the Roses."

To be frank, the updated Kentucky Derby weather forecast appears to be improving, but there's still an opportunity for rain Saturday at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky., which could result in a sloppy track for this evening's race.

With this in mind, let's take a detailed look at the latest Kentucky Derby weather forecast, including the chances that rain has an impact today at Churchill Downs.

Kentucky Derby Weather Forecast

*Weather data as of Saturday morning

According to the National Weather Service, there's a 30% chance of rain at Churchill Downs on Saturday afternoon, which suggests there's still a good chance of a dry day.

The hourly forecast is promising as well, with the chances of rain sitting in the high 20%s throughout the afternoon, before dropping to 20% into Saturday night.

Of course, the Kentucky Derby should be completed by tonight, but the precipitation tapering off provides even more confidence that this potential wet weather system is moving out of the area.

With that said, should rain fall in the afternoon, there is the potential for a wet track at Churchill Downs, though that appears less likely based on the latest forecast.