Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 12/18/12
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10. Asdrubal Cabrera, SS, CLE In 2011, Cabrera blasted 25 homers and had 92 RBI, but he reverted to his normal ceiling of under 20 HR and under 70 RBI. Cabrera’s 2011 was obviously an aberration as his previous career-high in homers was 16 and 63 in RBI. 9. Gordon Beckham, 3B, CHW Beckham was a highly-touted prospect a few years ago, and he’s had maybe two spurts of useful fantasy production. He consistently hits under .250 and has the same ceiling as Cabrera (above) in terms of power. Don’t buy into the one or two week relevancy he has each year. 8. Ivan Nova, SP, NYY If Nova was on any other team, he’d have Jeremy Guthrie Rockies’ stats. Playing for the Bronx Bombers, he gets more wins than he should (12-8 in 2012) but his 5.02 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and .288 BAA tell us the real story. Guys hit above the league average against him and he’s the worst egg in the carton that is the Yankees’ staff. 7. Drew Stubbs, OF, CLE Stubbs now brings his brand of “steal a ton of bases, strike out a ton” to Cleveland. I thought he was worth a roster spot a few years ago, but the cons he offers far outweigh the pros. 6. Madison Bumgarner, SP, SF On a staff that sports names such as Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain and the surprisingly average Barry Zito, Bumgarner fit right in this past year. He was 16-11 with a 3.37 ERA and 197 K. His breakout made Lincecum’s tailspin all the easier for the Giants’ to absorb. If each of the five members of the pitching staff is rolling in 2013, we might see another banner raised at AT&T Park. 5. Adam Jones, OF, BAL The good Adam “don’t call me Pacman” Jones has become one of the best young OF in the game today. Most didn’t notice until this year because the O’s were actually good this year. Since he’s been with Baltimore, he’s hit 19 or more homers in 4 of 5 years and has hit better than .275 for every year since 2009. 4. Ryan Vogelsong, SP, SF Vogelsong was one of last year’s feel-good stories as a guy who had bounced around the MLB before sticking with the Giants. He made an impact (14-9, 3.37 ERA, 1.23 WHIP). Some people thought his 2011 was a fluke, but I gave him a chance. Heck, he deserved more of a second chance than Francisco Liriano or Derek Lowe. 3. Alejandro De Aza, OF, CHW I jumped on the De Aza Express before the season, drafting him in most of my leagues. He wasn’t as good as Braun or Hamilton, but he had the potential to be a solid third OF. In 131 games, he hit .281 with 26 SB and 81 R. If he had played another 10-15 games, those numbers could have easily been 30 SB and 90 R. Those are two numbers that should merit more attention come draft time in 2013. 2. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, ARI Goldyknocks was another player with a lot of hype surrounding him. With the departures of Albert Pujols, Adrian Gonzalez and Prince Fielder from the NL, we needed someone to take the torch at first base. Goldschmidt did that to a degree, belting 20 HR while driving in 82 runs. Despite whiffing 130 times, he still managed to hit .286 and he is poised to take the next step. 1. Adam Wainwright, SP, STL There were two schools of thought when considering drafting Wainwright this past season — wait on him and take him around pick 100 or don’t draft him at all. I held onto him through a rough first half  knowing he would return to form. He didn’t win 20 games or have a sub 1.00 WHIP, but he showed flashes of his old self which encourages me for his 2013 prospects.
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