Found November 02, 2009 on Replacement Level Yankees:
Johnnydamon
Game 4's over and done with, so here are my updated playoff odds. First, I'll again present the updated team numbers for the remaining games. As far as what's changed since Game 3, the primary thing (aside from # of games and HFA) is the Yankees lose a CC Sabathia start and an inning of Mo, although with only three games left the bullpen innings are concentrated amongst their best options. I've also swapped Brett Gardner in for Melky. For the Phillies, I've removed Joe Blanton's innings and some of the middle relievers. #games 3 home games 2 #outs 75 offense 17.4 pitching 12.0 defense 0.0 wpct .678 162 gm equiv 110-52 #games 3 home games 1 #outs 75 offense 16.5 pitching 13.2 defense 0.5 wpct .615 162 gm equiv 100-62 #outs: 25 outs times # of games if the series goes the distance. offense: Total BR for the series using # of outs pitching: Total runs allowed by the pitching for the series defens...
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