When I imagine people who project players for a coming season, I think of huge spreadsheets, fast computers and a lot of trying to figure out how a player is trending. But those who project Adam Wainwright have to consider him like a dream. He has his parameters from year to year that you can count on. Some players are up and down in peaks and valleys. Not Adam Wainwright. He is a projector's dream.
And you would think that would not be the case coming off of a major surgery that cost him his entire 2011 season. But forget the record and forget the ERA, Adam Wainwright was the same pitcher in 2012 that he was in 2010 and 2009. Don't believe me? Here, take a look:
Here are some numbers for his last three seasons starting with 2009 and ending with 2012:
FIP - 3.11, 2.86, 3.10
K/9 - 8.19, 8.32, 8.34
BB/9 - 2.55, 2.19, 2.36
HR/9 - 0.66, 0.59, 0.68
GB% - 50.7%, 51.6%, 50.8%
HR per season: 17, 15, 15
I know that the Cardinals and Wainwright just cut off contract extension ...