Originally posted on Friarhood  |  Last updated 8/16/13
Yesterday we examined the trade for OF Carlos Quentin and whether or not the Friars received good value. After determining the trade was a good one for the Padres, it’s time to analyze the extension and try to project if the Padres will end up with surplus value for their investment. The simplest way to look at that question is through the prism of WAR and the calculated value of Quentin’s value based on the dollars needed to replace his production on the open market. According to FanGraphs.com, Quentin has been worth 3.9 WAR to this point in his Friars career. To buy that level of production on the open market would cost $18.5MM, again per FanGraphs.com. Even if Quentin doesn’t appear in another game this season or accrue any more WAR the Padres have received surplus value on their $16.525MM investment in the OF for 2012 and 2013. But, let’s remember that he does have two more years left on his deal and it’s at least conceivable Quentin’s production will regress in the years ahead....
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