Found August 08, 2012 on Oriole Post:
The Baltimore Orioles have been confounding sabermetricians and national pundits all year. The Orioles currently sit eight games over .500 and tied for the second wild card spot even though they have been outscored this year. And not just outscored, but outscored badly. The Orioles current run differential is currently -54 (455-509), that is awful. It is one of the worst run differentials in baseball and should not belong to a team in a legitimate playoff hunt. Bill James developed something called the Pythagorean Win Percentage. Looking at the team’s runs allowed and runs scored and putting them in a modified Pythagorean Theorem you should get an “expected” win percentage. Right now, with those numbers the Orioles should have a record of 46-60. If you wonder why this team is not being taken seriously by national media outlets, and seem impossibly low on many power rankings it is this. It is hard to ignore a -55 run deficit. Normally you see a team that is outperforming their expe...
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