Found December 21, 2012 on
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Edwin Jackson used to be the #4 prospect in baseball.
Getting his first taste of the bigs in 2003 (as a 19-year old, no less), Jackson had a huge reputation to live up to early on in his career. For a long, long time, he never lived up to it.
This is an auspicious start to a career, to be sure. It's important to keep in mind a few things, though:
a) 24.2, 28.2, and 36.1 are essentially meaningless sample sizes.
b) The average 22-year old pitching prospect is getting ready to finish AA.
The thing that really pops out to me is the hellacious WHIP, here. You can't pitch in the bigs with a whip over 1.4; it just isn't going to happen.
Jackson would be traded as a 22-year old, a 24-year old, a 25-year old, a 26-year old, and as a 27-year old TWICE. That's insanity.
As Jackson aged, he looked more and more like a journeyman 5th starter. It wasn't until 2010 until he really started to break through; I'll show you why I think that is.
Jackson has 3 primary offerings. His main pitch is a 93-94 mph fastball that he throws 60% of the time. As you'd expect from a guy with a primary-pitch fastball, it hovers around -.6 runs per 100, which is obviously below average but relatively fine for a pitch you're throwing in the worst counts. Edwin also throws an 86 mph slidepiece (30%) that has consistently been a plus pitch over his career. After that, Jackson throws an awful changeup at 86 mph; he also throws maybe 2 curveballs a game.
Jackson's success of late has been almost entirely predicated on his ability to throw the first pitch for a strike. Until 2010, Jackson's average for F-Strike% was 54%; from 2010 onwards, it is 59%. You may think that's no huge difference; it is. The correlation between throwing your first pitch for a strike and throwing your last pitch for one is pretty high. Really, no peripheral of Jackson's has changed besides K/9 (a modest downturn in BB/9, also attributed to getting the first pitch over for a strike), as far a LD%, HR/FB%, LOB%, yet his performance has been a lot better.
I don't know enough about Jackson to hazard a guess as to why he's throwing more first pitch strikes, but whoever told him to should get a free meal from the Scott Boras.
Edwin signed a 4/52 contract with the Cubs. As dmick89 pointed out, the Cubs are paying right around the market price. It's important to realize that no every signing is going to be a steal. Teams with financial advantages need to use those advantages, and the Cubs just did. Even if the Cubs don't compete until 2015, they'll still need pitchers that season, and Jackson will be one (even if he's the #4 or #5 on a good team). He doesn't have a NTC, so we can get under the contract for prospects or relief if necessary, and he's as good a bet (for a pitcher) to earn his contract as anyone. Next year's FA class is *******, and they'll likely get worse. This is a good signing for a good pitcher.
BEST OF MAXIM
Assuming that the deal actually goes through as planned, which is easier said than done on the North Side these days, the Chicago Cubs will have made their most noteworthy signing of the offseason, in bringing in starter Edwin Jackson.
Jackson, who has become the very definition of a journeyman over the last several years, finally gets a home for more than a few months in agreeing...
Edwin Jackson has chosen to sign with the Chicago Cubs. Four-years and $52 million are pretty good reasons. Multiple teams had interst in the 29-year-old but yesterday the bidding was between the Cubs and Texas Rangers.
In Chicago, Jackson will join a staff that includes Matt Garza, Jeff Samardzija, Scott Feldman and Travis Wood. The team also has Scott Baker who should return in...
The Cubs finalized contracts with Edwin Jackson and Carlos Villanueva today, which gives the Cubs something like 18 starters. I lost count. The good news is that Edwin Jackson is actually good unlike the other 22 starters they signed this offseason. Jackson has been underrated for some time and that's in part to how miserably he performed when he reached the big leagues.
Dave Cameron wrote a bit about the Cubs signing of Edwin Jackson. Here's part of it.
But we should note that Edwin Jackson makes them better, and this price for Edwin Jackson is still completely reasonable based on his established performance level. That the Cubs aren’t yet obvious contenders shouldn’t cause us to tell them to stop trying to improve. By bringing in Jackson...
Even after making my first trip to Wrigley Field this year, I never heard the name David DeJesus before receiving an email from the Cubs this week promoting a charity event.
Truthfully, I still know very little about David DeJesus’s baseball accomplishments but I know a hell of a lot about his Babe of a wife, Kim DeJesus.
Like she sports a C-cup bra size (which looks to have...
The Chicago Cubs announced Friday they have finalized a one-year, $2.25 million deal with outfielder Nate Schierholtz. Schierholtz, 28, batted .257 with six home runs for the Giants and Phillies in 2012. The Phillies decided to non-tender Schierholtz, who made $1.3 million last season. In other Cubs moves, left-handed pitcher Gerardo Concepcion cleared waivers and was assigned...
Yesterday it was reported that free agent Edwin Jackson had
narrowed his list of suitors down to two teams; the Chicago Cubs and Texas
Rangers. Now, Jim Bowden of ESPN is saying that the Cubs are the frontrunner
Cubs now the front runner for Edwin Jackson as negotiations continue with both Cubs and Rangers..4 yrs and approx 52 m is ball park #source
— JIM BOWDEN...
Edwin Jackson is only 29 years old, but he’s already played for seven Major League Baseball franchises. While that may be a red flag to a lot of teams, the Chicago Cubs are about to give the right-hander a lot of money to join his eighth club.
CSNChicago.com’s Patrick Mooney reports that Jackson has agreed to a four-year contract worth $52 million. The 29-year-old is coming off...
I think George Carlin said it best:
“I’ve never ****** a 10, but one night I ****** 5 twos”
Which, you know, might be the perfect way to describe the Cubs 2013 rotation. The Cubs have handed out contracts to Edwin Jackson (4yrs, 52MM) and Carlos Villanueva (2yrs, 10MM), rounding out a rotation of not great but not quite awful starters.
MLB Depth Charts projects the starting...
A person familiar with the situation tells The Associated Press that the Chicago Cubs have agreed to a four-year, $52 million contract with right-hander Edwin Jackson.
The person spoke Thursday on the condition of anonymity because the deal had not been announced. Several outlets had previously reported the agreement.
The Cubs will be the eighth team in 11 years for the 29-year...
After failing to trade for Dan Haren of the Angels and failing to sign Anibal Sanchez of the Tigers, the Chicago Cubs finally have the veteran starting pitcher they've been craving: journeyman Edwin Jackson, who the team agreed to a four-year, $52 million deal with on Thursday, substantially less than the $80 million that Sanchez got over five years from the Tigers.
The Chicago Cubs have signed Carlos Villanueva to a two-year, $10mm deal, Jon Heyman of CBS Sports reports.
Villanueva spent the last two seasons in Toronto posting a combined 4.11 ERA, while splitting time in the rotation and the bullpen.
Last season in 38 games (16 starts) Villanueva went 7-7 with a 4.16 ERA with a 8.8 K/9.
Image taken by Keith Allison and used under the Creative...
Merry Christmas Dreamers! This has been quite a year, one that will be remembered for a long time to come. None of this would be possible without you, the World Series Dreaming fan, so for that I want to say thank you.
While I love baseball, and love talking about baseball (especially Chicago Cubs baseball) without all of you, I would just be talking to myself. So thank you for making...
While the Cleveland Indians attempted to recruit free agent outfield Nick Swisher as if he were a high schooler looking to name his collegiate future, it appears that their conquests do not end there.
FOX Sports’ Ken Rosenthal reports that Chris Antonetti and company are eying up veteran starting pitcher Edwin Jackson, potentially adding to a rotation that recently added power...
Free agent pitcher Edwin Jackson has found a new home, agreeing to terms with the Chicago Cubs. As is the Cubs’ practice, the well-traveled right-hander did not receive no-trade protection in his four-year, $52 million deal.
The Cubs will be the eighth major league team that Jackson has played for, in a career that began with the Dodgers in 2003.
Like many baseball writers, ESPN’s...