Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 4/30/13
Max Scherzer gave me a scare with some early struggles but eventually rebounded to post a more Scherzer-like 10 strikeouts and a win over the Twins. As I suspected, Matt Harvey in a road start, even against the Minnows, was a more challenging win opportunity than most people expected. While most of my offense did almost nothing, Brandon Moss had a banner day slugging two homers and combining with Scherzer to propel my team to fifth-place in a 20-team, 50/50 contest. That’s a win, folks!Today’s FanDuel post is a bit late in coming, but I’ve been on a host streak lately (35+ points in five of my last six) so I wanted to enter another daily game. despite a busy day of real-life obligations. Below are my season results so far and my picks for today.Season ResultsWagered: $285 | Profit: $7.50 | ROI: 2.6% | Avg. Points: 31.19Contest SettingsSalary Cap: $35KBuy-in: $10Teams: 20-team 50/50 contest (pays top 10)Player universe: All gamesPitcher Scoring: W = 4 pts, IP = 1 pt, K = 1 pt, ER = -1 ptHitter Scoring: TB = 1 pt, R = 1 pt, RBI = 1 pt, SB = 2 pts, BB = 1 pt, HBP = 1 pt, Out = -0.25 ptHiroki Kuroda ($6,400) — home vs. HOU (Phil Humber)There are three approaches you can take towards selecting your starting pitcher:Pay a premium and grab an aceLook for good values/matchups in the middle tierPay as little as possible and stock up on elite battersFew people elect to go with option three, and most end up siding with option two. That’s why almost everybody is going to pick Kuroda today at home against the Astros. A win is likely, and I’d be surprised if we see anything less that six strikeouts. If you want to be a little different, I also really like Marco Estrada at home against the Pirates, but know that Kuroda is far more a sure thing. I’d rather play it safe with my pitcher today and try to win with my hitting selections.Yadier Molina ($3,400) — home vs. CIN (Bronson Arroyo)Molina has terrible career numbers against Arroyo — 7-for-43 (.163) with a .364 OPS and zero walks — but he’s struck out just twice in those 47 at-bats. Clearly he isn’t making good contact, but he is making contact. Molina has developed immensely as a batter over the last year or two, and I don’t think those numbers accurately reflect their matchup here in 2013. Molina is hitting well this year and he’s a good price at $3,400.Brandon Moss ($3,100) — home vs. LAA (Garrett Richards)I’m not just picking Moss again because of what he did yesterday, but his two-homer performance certainly didn’t hurt. He’s very cheap right now at just $3,100 and he’s hitting like an elite option over the last week or so.Ian Kinsler ($4,400) — home vs. CHW (Jose Quintana)I’m going to keep picking Kinsler at home against a left-handed pitcher until he produces for me. This is at least the third time I’ve picked him this year in such a situation and I still haven’t gotten a good performance from him yet. Career OPS at home: .916. Career OPS versus lefties: .910. Today had better be the day!Kyle Seager ($3,600) — home vs. BAL (Jason Hammel)Hammel hasn’t been the pitcher we saw last season while Seager has finally started to resemble the hitter we saw last season. He’s hit safely in 19 of his last 20 games, walks at a good clip, can hit a homer or steal a base, and generally provides us with many ways  to rack up fantasy points.Starlin Castro ($2,800) — home vs. SD (Edinson Volquez)Castro’s career numbers at home are much better than those on the road (.807 OPS at home, .708 OPS on the road) and Volquez is terrible.Matt Joyce ($2,700) — road vs. KC (James Shields)Joyce is today’s outfield money saver, and while he doesn’t always play, he’s productive when he does. Check the released lineups if you elect to play him today.Bryce Harper ($4,500) — road vs. ATL (Tim Hudson)Harper is currently my favorite outfielder to select, especially because he costs $700 less than Ryan Braun.Austin Jackson ($4,000) — home vs. MIN (Vance Worley)Jackson has some issues striking out, but Worley doesn’t specialize in the K. Assuming Jackson makes contact and puts the ball in play, he’ll almost certainly reach base at least once and likely wreak havoc once he does. Detroit has that fearsome three-four duo that’s resulted in 25 runs scored already for Jackson.
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