Originally written December 03, 2012 on Baseball Professor:
Boston’s offseason overhaul is underway. The Red Sox have agreed to terms with Mike Napoli on a three-year contract worth $39MM. At first glance it would appear that Napoli was made for Fenway. The right-handed, power-first pull hitter will enjoy bobbing balls off and over the Green Monster just over 300 feet away, and one would expect his power numbers and batting average to rise accordingly even factoring in his departure from another hitter’s haven in Texas. During Napoli’s seven-year career, he’s played 19 games at Fenway Park and logged 62 at-bats while slashing .309/.372/.702 (ridiculous!) with 7 HR, 17 RBI, and 13 R. Of course, the Red Sox haven’t assembled the best pitching staffs since Napoli broke into the show in 2006; the team’s overall 4.31 ERA ranks 20th in the majors over that span, and their ERA at Fenway is no better at 4.32. So, is Napoli’s success more a product of the ballpark or the pitching staff? Napoli’s Numbers at Fenway The best way to answer this would be ...
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