Found July 27, 2013 on 643ball:
LiAnna Davis The fantasy stock report is a weekly article that will provide insight on particular hitters or pitchers whose stock is either rising or falling based on recent performances. This week we will take a look at two starting pitchers:  Hisashi Iwakuma and Tony Cingrani Bullish:  Hisashi Iwakuma   Hisashi Iwakuma has been a major boon for fantasy owners this season. He has an ERA of 2.87, 0.95 WHIP and a 10-4 record. According to FFtoolbox.com, Iwakuma's ADP was 185. Savvy fantasy owners were able to secure themselves a superior #2 real life and fantasy starting pitcher around the middle of the 15th round. Some owners may have opted to sell him high with his latest string of starts. I heard whispers of low-inning outputs in Japan and the perception that Iwakuma would break down as the season progressed. He has only pitched more than 200 innings twice in his entire career and that was part of the reason the Mariners elected to pitch him out of the bullpen for most of last season. Since the Mariners moved him into the starting role, Iwakuma has been absolutely lights out. Hisashi boasts a five-pitch arsenal that consists of a fastball, curveball, slider, sinker and a split-finger fastball. The splitter ranks as the best in baseball and allows him to keep hitters off-balanced, despite his 90 mph fastball. If you look at his month-by-month splits you may be a bit discouraged. His ERA has been progressively getting worse but that should be expected when you open the first month of the season with a 1.67 ERA in 37.2 IP. Since the ASB, Iwakuma has pitched 13 innings and has contributed 16 K’s and 2 wins while only surrendering 2 runs. Those results came from facing the Twins and Astros but I’m holding out hope that the ASB did Iwakuma some good. If you can pry Iwakuma from his owners based on that bad month of July, DO IT! This guy is a stud #2 pitcher that pitches in a favorable ballpark and has a devastating pitch in his arsenal. He is ranked in the top 13 in WHIP, SIERA, SwStr%, and xFIP. The Mariners have been swinging the bats better lately and that could mean more run support for Iwakuma. This Japanese pitcher can really pitch and despite his lack of innings in the past, he should continue to pay dividends for 2013 and beyond for fantasy owners and the Seattle Mariners. Bearish: Tony Cingrani Tony Cingrani has pitched well for the Cincinatti Reds this season. He is in the rotation due to Cueto’s injury and for the most part, has made the most of his time in The Show. Cingrani is 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. For the season he has an impressive 10.06 K/9, 3.48 SIERA and 3.65 xFIP. None of those numbers suggest that Cingrani’s value will fall off a cliff. This prediction is based off of his reputation for being a 1-pitch guy and that funky delivery that is rarely able to fool Major League hitters over the long-term. Here’s why I’m not sold on Tony Cingrani. I just don’t think that he will be able to keep up his current performance based off his lack of a quality off-speed pitch. He’s able to generate a 9.1% SwStr rate from his 92 MPH fastball that he uses 81% of the time. Cingrani has a bit of a funky delivery that has been able to deceive hitters so far in his career but he may have a difficult time once hitters are able to time his fastball better. Tony may be the classic, “wait til they get a book on him,” type of MLB performer. As he begins to hurl more innings in the Majors, I think the hitters will adjust and begin to punish Cingrani, due to his lack of a quality off-speed pitch.  I certainly have been wrong before, but I do think Cingrani will begin to fall back down to earth. If you can get some value for him on the market, maybe you should pull the trigger and move him while his value is still high. While I like the strikeouts and his decent walk rate, I’m afraid that Cingrani’s high fly-ball rate will result in a higher HR%. The change is not working for him and the slider hasn’t developed as fast as he would like. For now, it’s the gimmicky fast ball that’s helping him produce but unfortunately I don’t think it can last much longer. Trevor Steel Follow Trevor on Twitter @TrevorCSteel Recent Articles Fantasy Stock Report: Carlos Quentin, Yoenis Cespedes 643 Locks for This Weekend Fantasy Stock Report: John Lackey, Yovani Gallardo Week 17 Closer Report Fantasy Stock Report: Mat Latos, Hyun-Jin Ryu
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