Originally written June 12, 2013 on Tigers Weblog:
Mlb-rays-tigers-aug
36-27, first place 5.5 GA, winning streak at one. Jackson Alburquerque Worth Commenter mcb brought up an interesting point about the importance of Torii Hunter’s play Monday night on the Salvador Perez 2-run triple. I agree that a conventional back-up of CF Avisail Garcia would have held Perez to a double. Two runs would have scored either way, but with Perez on 2B instead of 3B, the score might have stayed 2-2, which might have changed the complexion of the game later. However, in my view, Hunter was coming on hard and measuring his own play on the ball – no fault there – just before Garcia made the sudden dive and stab at it. There was no time and nothing else for Torii to do but what he did – steer clear and circle back for the ball Garcia missed. All might have gone better, perhaps, if Garcia had yielded to Hunter – who was coming toward a throw in if it dropped – to begin with. I’m reminded of a couple plays earlier in the season. There was a flyball hit to deep LCF that fell between Andy Dirks and Austin Jackson, won the game for the Twins. That one just made it out there too fast and fell in no man’s land. No fault. Another time (can’t remember the opponent), Matt Tuiasosopo pulled away at the last moment on a flyball hit to LCF nearly to the fence, as Jackson was coming over hard for it himself. Tuiasosopo had a play on that one and gave way out of caution, as a collision must have seemed imminent. I blamed Jackson on that one. I know he can cover a lot of ground, but he was trespassing there. WRAPPING UP OUR BULLPEN REPORT CARD THRU 60 TIGERS BULLPEN *172 IP, 4-11 W-L, 3.82 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, .231 BAA, 0.83 HR/9, 9.6/3.9 K/BB-9, 13-21 SvO 205 pitched-in-inning appearances 24.4% RUNS ALLOWED (50 times) 33.7% REACHES/ADVANCES BUT NO RUNS ALLOWED (69 times) 41.9% NOTHING BUT OUTS (86 times) 75.6% NO DAMAGE (155 times) OTHER BULLPENS (AL AVERAGE?) AGAINST THE TIGERS 279 pitched-in-inning appearances 24.7% RUNS ALLOWED (69 times) 40.9% REACHES/ADVANCES BUT NO RUNS ALLOWED (114 times) 34.4% NOTHING BUT OUTS (96 times) 75.3% NO DAMAGE (210 times) KANSAS CITY ROYALS BULLPEN (A GOOD ONE) *155 IP, 12-9 W-L, 2,79 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, .225 BAA, 0.87 HR/9, 8.3/3.3 K/BB-9, 17-25 SvO 184 pitched-in-inning appearances 21.7% RUNS ALLOWED (40 times) 39.7% REACHES/ADVANCES BUT NO RUNS ALLOWED (73 times) 38.6% NOTHING BUT OUTS (71 times) 78.3% NO DAMAGE (144 times) * Thru 62 games Note the rather slim margin between average and good. Interesting. DETROIT INDIVIDUAL Let’s abbreviate REACHES/ADVANCES as “H” and NOTHING BUT OUTS as “Z” and then rank Tigers relievers in the NO DAMAGE category (the RUNS ALLOWED ranking running exactly opposite, of course): PORCELLO 100% (Z-100%) 2 Innings Pitched In ORTEGA 87% (H-47%, Z-40%) 15 IPI BENOIT 86% (H-41%, Z-45%) 29 IPI SMYLY 85% (H-40%, Z-45%) 40 IPI VALVERDE 81% (H-31%, Z-50%) 16 IPI PUTKONEN 80% (H-40%, Z-40%) 10 IPI COKE 72% (H-20%, Z-52%) 25 IPI DOWNS 71% (H-21%, Z-50%) 28 IPI ALBURQUERQUE 68% (H-42%, Z-26%) 19 IPI REED 67% (H-67%) 3 IPI DOTEL 57% (H-28%, Z-28%) 7 IPI RONDON 50% (H-25%, Z-25%) 4 IPI VILLAREAL 14% (H-14%) 7 IPI So… there’s something to chew on. I’ll chew on it for a while myself, and be back with a different subject of statistical inquiry next time around. Post-game to follow.
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