Found April 23, 2013 on
Mike Napoli is so hot right now, but its certainly not sustainable
If the 2013 Boston Red Sox season hadn’t already begun to look like a complete 180 degree spin from last year’s debacle, then Monday night’s comeback win should help convince the fans and the pundits even more. So far in 2013, the Boston Red Sox had survived thanks to their pitching and timely hitting. Down 2-1 after four and a half innings, the Boston Red Sox scored eight runs in the fourth and fifth innings to take the lead for good in the game. The runs were highlighted by Mike Napoli’s grand-slam leading everyone to proclaim their love for Mike Napoli across all of social media. Even Mugatu got into the act, and yes that was a lame attempt to point you towards our Facebook page.
Mike Napoli’s accession into one of the Boston Red Sox’ top hitters has been quick and shocking. Red Sox hitters knew they were getting a power hitter, but in the past week of baseball, Mike Napoli has been sensational. In that week, he is hitting .363 with 2 home-runs and 15 RBI, basically single-handily propelling the Boston Red Sox offense over that time. In the process, he has reversed his dreadful start to the season, raising his averages to .278/.321/.570.
That right there begs the question, is what Mike Napoli doing sustainable across the entire season? Can Mike Napoli be counted on to be a consistent big bat in this offense?
Simply, the answer is no. It is also wrong to think that Mike Napoli will revert back to his early-season slide. I’ll explain.
First, let’s take a look at Napoli’s career stats.
162 Game Avg.
LAA (5 yrs)
TEX (2 yrs)
BOS (1 yr)
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
What does this tell us? Mike Napoli has really only had one truly great season was in 2011 where everyone felt super-proud when they drafted him in the later rounds of their fantasy baseball drafts. He was a huge reason that the Texas Rangers offense was so successful that season. Granted, Napoli had hip problems in 2012 that limited him, but the stats show that being around a .270 hitter and an eh OBP. He will certainly put up great slugging numbers, but that’s why the Boston Red Sox paid him the cash, to slug balls. His average in the past week has been an added bonus.
I would expect Mike Napoli to come back down to Earth a little bit and taper off at his current average. Fenway is a hitters park and the fact that everyone in front of him is doing a good job getting on base will help his RBI numbers and Napoli should continue to have a good season. It’s just hard to see his current run being sustainable.
Enjoy it while it lasts.
BEST OF MAXIM
AROUND THE WEB
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Here are the four bases:
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