Found December 04, 2011 on Fantasy Baseball 365:
Key Stats:  Jaime Garcia has pitched two full seasons in the majors, and those two seasons have been amazingly consistent. He has identical Wins (13), WHIPs (1.31) and almost identical K/9 (7.27 and 7.21) and line drive rate (18.6% and 18.4%). His ERA is the only major stat that shows significant change from year 1 to 2, moving from 2.70 to 3.56, and it would seem that his BABIP and team defense were the main attributes to that. Looking at the overall picture of his stats hides his effectiveness in some situations though…

Skeptics Say:
Garcia isn’t as effective on the road as he is pitching at home. In each of his two seasons his ERA home/road split has been different by more than two runs. His FIP and xFIP don’t really explain this as they are relatively consistent; the difference in BABIP though is 66 points. So while he puts up generally overall solid numbers, he can hurt your ratios when he is on the road.

Peer Comparison: Jaime Garcia gets a lot of credit for being a good pitcher. And he is, but I think because of his great ERA his rookie season and the fact he pitches for a winning team, people might over value him some.  Let’s look at his line, and compare it to some other guys in baseball.

Garcia – 3.56 ERA, 7.2 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 1.31 WHIP
Player A – 3.39 ERA, 6.1 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 1.28 WHIP
Player B – 3.32 ERA, 6.4 K/9, 1.3 BB/9, 1.13 WHIP
Player C – 3.14 ERA, 8.2 K/9, 2.1 BB/9, 1.17 WHIP
Player D – 3.69 ERA, 7.6 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 1.18 WHIP

O.K. All five of those guys have very similar numbers and one could argue that they are all evenly matched, but I would be 95% certain that you are going to be able to get players A-D later in your draft than you can Garcia. Who are they?  Matt Harrison, Brandon McCarthy, Scott Baker and Javier Vazquez. The names aren’t as impressive, but you can’t argue with the numbers, which is really all we care about.

Team Outlook: To spend or not to spend, that is the question for the Cards. They are still the favorite to land Pujols, but losing him is a big blow to that team.  Granted he was out a month, and other guys picked up the slack while he was gone, but can we expect similar production from Berkman to help fill that void again should they lose Pujols? I would guess not. We also don’t know how new manager Mike Matheny is going to use his pitching staff compared to La Russa last season, or how the team will react to that.

What They’re Saying: CBS Sportline: #48 Starting Pitcher; Tristan Cockcroft of ESPN.com: #49 Starting Pitcher & #190 Overall; RotoChamp: #141 Overall

Projection: Garcia is a good pitcher, but not as valuable as other owners may think he is.  Look at him as a solid 4th or 5th guy for your starting rotation in mixed leagues and only if you don't mind using him exclusively when he pitches at home.

13 Wins, 3.86 ERA, 137 K, 1.31 WHIP in 190 innings.
THE BACKYARD
BEST OF MAXIM
RELATED ARTICLES

World Series DVD Set trivia: La Russa on the “other” career wins list

Correctly answer a two-part St. Louis Cardinals post-season-related trivia question and win a free 2011 World Series DVD Set from The Cardinal Nation Blog. Welcome to the first of a series of 2011 St. Louis Cardinals-related post-season trivia questions here at The Cardinal Nation Blog. Before responding, please familiarize yourself with the complete contest rules (follow the link...

Mabry hired as assistant hitting coach

New St. Louis Cardinals manager Mike Matheny finalized his coaching staff, hiring John Mabry as assistant hitting coach working under Mark McGwire. The 41-year-old Mabry replaces Mike Aldrete, who was promoted to bench coach. Mabry had three stints with the Cardinals during his playing career and had his best season in 1996 with a .297 average, 21 home runs and 74 RBIs. Longtime...

Trade With '"O" No!!! Another Orioles Blog: It's Albert Pujols, Of Course I'm Interested.

I completed my second trade with Ryan of '"O" No!!! Another Orioles Blog. It was a simple one for one swap. He posted some card show bait, and I bit quickly on the relic you'll soon see below, sending an Eddie Murray hit Ryan's way.I don't actively seek out Albert Pujols relics - save for the occasional eBay search - but when I see 'em available and...

Cards hire Mabry as assistant hitting coach

The St. Louis Cardinals have hired former player John Mabry as assistant hitting coach on new manager Mike Matheny's staff. Mabry, who will work under hitting coach Mark McGwire, replaces Mike Aldrete. He was promoted to bench coach. The 41-year-old Mabry spent 14 seasons in the majors, including three stints with the Cardinals. His best season with the club came in 1996...

MLB Winter Meetings: Yankees, Mets, Jose Reyes, Albert Pujols and more

A look at the Miami Marlins, key free agents and more

Cardinals Major League Notebook: 12/03/11

St. Louis’ winter meeting plans hinge on the Albert Pujols contract negotiations.

Cardinals, Marlins - and Cubs? - in Play for Pujols

The Cardinals badly want to retain Albert Pujols, but they have competition from the Miami Marlins -- and perhaps from their main rivals, the Chicago Cubs.

DeWitt at meetings: 'You don't replace an Albert Pujols'

Cards chairman in Dallas to meet with Pujols' agent. Also: Brewers interested in Dotel

Marlins have second meeting with Pujols, agent

The Miami Marlins scheduled a second meeting with coveted free agent slugger Albert Pujols on Monday night.

Hot Stove: Cardinals have not modified offer to Pujols

Here is the latest hot stove buzz from the Winter Meetings in Dallas: The Cardinals have yet to modify their current offer to Albert Pujols for $22 million per season, writes Joe Strauss of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Strauss also says the Marlins are expected to meet with the agents for Pujols tomorrow at the Winter Meetings. Joe Capozzi of the Palm Beach Post says the Phillies...

Miami Marlins turn their attention to Albert Pujols

A day after Jose Reyes agreed to terms, the Marlins’ front office met with prized first baseman Albert Pujols at the winter meetings.

Marlins come out swinging in Big D

If you thought the Miami Marlins' offers to both Jose Reyes and Albert Pujols were nothing more than public relations window dressing, think again.
MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.