Originally posted on Fantasy Baseball 365  |  Last updated 10/9/12

Continuing the hit and miss- type look back on the projections and rankings from prior to the 2012 season...







Matt Garza – 2012 Projection; 14 W, 3.10 ERA, 194 K, 1.28 WHIP in 200 Innings


Actual;  5 W, 3.91 ERA, 96 K, 1.18 WHIP, 103.2 IP




Garza’s season ended in July. Doubling his innings pitched effectively gives us his K projection and WHIP projection…but the Wins would have come up a little short and who knows what would have happened with the ERA. Give myself the benefit of the doubt and say a Win based on that an ERA under 4 doesn’t kill teams. In a rotisserie league where you are trying to reach statistical goals or thresholds, a Garza addition would have been spot on.




Neftali Feliz – 2012 Projection; 10 W, 4.10 ERA, 132 K, 1.35 WHIP in 160 IP.


Actual; 3 W, 3.16 ERA, 37 K, 1.20 WHIP in 42.2 IP.




Another pitcher who’s season ended early… I’m sensing a trend. Feliz fared a bit better starting than I thought he would. His K/9 was identical in 2012 to its 2011 number, which is all you are looking for when drafting him. I want to toot my own horn here and point out that I called an increase in the long ball being a problem for him, and it was. His HR/9 doubled in 2012 from the year prior. I’m still going to call this a miss though.




Kenley Jansen – 2012 Projection; 3 Wins, 34 Saves, 2.21 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 92 K's in 55 IP


Actual; 5 W, 25 Saves, 2.35 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 99 K, 65 IP.




So I was off by 10 saves, but everything else is right on the money. I did say that his projection was based on him closing out games, so if we add Javy Guerra’s saves to Jansen’s all of a sudden he has 33 saves, one short of his projection. This was a hit.




Michael Cuddyer – 2012 Projection; .270 AVG, 20 HR, 80 RBI, 68 Runs, 9 steals, .340 OBP, .773 OPS in 550 AB's


Actual; .260 AVG, 16 HR, 58 RBI, 53 R, 8 Steals, .317 OBP, .806 OPS in 358 AB’s.




Cuddyer didn’t a play a game after August 18th. Could he have hit 4 more HR’s in the last 45 days to reach his HR projection? Probably… Could he have come close in his RBI and R totals? Yeah. Did he? No.  I’m going to make this a Miss. Is it fair? I dunno. I don’t have a solid system of identifying hits and misses. For Pete’s sake I credited another players’ stats and assumed them for Kenley Jansen in the last paragraph! This isn’t science.




Desmond Jennings – 2012 Projection; .276 AVG, 15 HR, 110 Runs, 58 RBI, 50 steals, .368 OBP,  .792 OPS in 680 AB


Actual; .246 AVG, 13 HR, 47 RBI, 85 Runs, 31 steals, .314 OBP, .702 OPS in 505 AB.




Time to fess up, that 680 number was actually plate appearances. There were a number of times I did that, and I usually caught it when proof-reading, but sometimes it slipped by. Anyway. This was a big ‘ol miss. I fell for the Desmond Jennings hype. There is another player who I hyped to no end that will be a miss on this series in the future (hint: His name rhymes with Rhrett Blawrie…)




2-3 on the Hit and Miss counter today. Brings us to 6-7-2 for the series.

GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Report: Westbrook doesn’t want trade, will think about extension

Chargers don’t know if Joey Bosa will report to camp

Report: RG3 to be given four out of five first-team reps

Chris Sale says White Sox put business over winning

Report: Peterson likely entering last season with Vikings

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Cubs trade for Chapman a risk, but potential payoff too hard to ignore

White Sox fan wears a fantastic taped-up Chris Sale jersey

Wisconsin kicker will wear 27 to honor Nebraska's Sam Foltz

Dennis Schroder wears disguise to play in German streetball tournament

Browns indicate they will give Josh Gordon another chance

Prince Fielder to undergo season-ending neck surgery

Chris Sale’s so-called ‘apology’ was anything but

Ten hottest golfers heading into 2016 PGA Championship

Five NFL sophomores poised to break out in 2016

Tre Mason's family concerned about RB's mental health?

Dion Waiters' deal signals the end of the 2016 money grab

Tom Jackson could leave ESPN after almost three decades

Cavs sign coach Tyronn Lue to a five-year extension

More than 10,000 people registered for Jaguars Pokemon Go night

NFL issues new concussion protocol

Angels listening to offers on Hector Santiago

Five U.S. Olympians favored to win multiple gold medals

Kevin Durant’s OKC restaurant will be closed, rebranded

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Five U.S. Olympians favored to win multiple gold medals

WATCH: What teams should join the Big 12?

One Gotta Go: Do NBA players really love NBA2K?

Effect of ban on Russia could span beyond the Olympic Games

One Gotta Go: NBA players hate Facebook too

QUIZ: Name every city to host the NBA All-Star Game

One Gotta Go: NBA players settle the fast food beef

One Gotta Go: NBA players make tough choices on their favorite rappers

One Gotta Go: NBA Summer League is not about that Game of Thrones life

The top NHL free agents available as offseason winds down

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker