Originally posted on Fantasy Baseball 365  |  Last updated 10/8/12

Continuing the hit and miss type look back on the projections and rankings from prior to the 2012 season...

 

 

Daniel Hudson – 2012 Projection;  17-12, 3.27 ERA, 180 K, 1.16 WHIP, 210 IP

Actual; 3-2, 7.35 ERA, 37 K, 1.63 WHIP, 45.1 IP


2012 was injury riddled for Hudson so perhaps he was never really able to get going. It’s a not a pretty game log to look at…three starts in April, then nothing between April 18 and May 27th, then not pitching again after June 26th. Regardless, you would hope he would have made the most of his 45 innings. Not the case… Big fat miss.


Jeremy Hellickson – 2012 Projection; 15 W, 3.86 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 177 K, 200 IP

Actual; 10-11, 3.10 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 124 K, 177 IP.


I thought he would improve upon his K’s this past season from 2011 based on a high swinging strike rate. Well he did, but apparently I grossly over exaggerated how much, and to make things worse, he upped his K’s while simultaneously reducing his swinging strike rate. I think based on my Wins projection, K projection and IP projection coming up short I have to call this a miss… but barely.


Brandon Beachy – 2012 Projection; 14 W, 3.26 ERA, 200 K, 1.18 WHIP, 175 IP

Actual; 5-5, 2.00 ERA, 68 K, 0.96 WHIP, 81 IP


I called for improvement across the board from 2011 in Beachy’s numbers. While the season ending Tommy John surgery cut things short, he was certainly on his way. Beachy came out better than I thought he would. I’m going to take credit for this. I also pointed out he was in jury risk due to his jump in innings pitched. Nailed it.


Jesus Montero – 2012 Projection; .280 AVG, 25 HR, 75 R, 90 RBI, .340 OBP, .842 OPS in 560 AB’s

Actual; .260 AVG, 15 HR, 42 R, 62 RBI, .685 OPS, 515 AB’s.


Wow. I was way off there, until you go back and see that the above projection was made when he was still on the Yankees. So playing in Yankee Stadium in a Yankee lineup might have yielded those numbers. Anyone will have suffering numbers when your home field changes from Yankee Stadium to Safeco and from anyone in the Yankee lineup to Justin Smoak.  Sadly, this exercise doesn’t work that way. This is a big fat miss.


Jaime Garcia – 2012 Projection; 13 W, 3.86 ERA, 137 K, 1.31 WHIP in 190 IP

Actual; 7-7, 3.92 ERA, 98 K, 1.36 WHIP 121.2 IP.


Coming up 70 innings short of what my projection was based off of is going to skew the numbers, particularly the strikeouts. But, based on his 7.25 K/9 this past season, if he did reach that 190 innings projection I thought he would, hit K total would have been 153, over the projection I had for him. His WHIP and ERA are very close to where I projected. Wins were off, but honestly the pitcher can’t control that. I’m marking a hit.


I went 2-3 this go around, to bring my hit miss total to 4-4-2 so far in this series.

MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Grading the deal: Celtics, Cavs trade Kyrie and Isaiah Thomas

Jon Jones tests positive for steroids, reportedly stripped of title

Report: Bills have not made LeSean McCoy available in trades

Emmanuel Sanders involved in car accident on way to team facility

Old Isaiah Thomas tweet about LeBron goes viral following trade

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Reports: Cavs, Celtics complete trade involving Irving, Thomas

Report: Smaller-market teams support Pacers in tampering case against Lakers

Report: MRI confirms ankle sprain for Odell Beckham Jr.

Jason Garrett indicates Ezekiel Elliott could play this week

Chuck Pagano: Still no timeline for Andrew Luck’s return

VIDEO: 13-year old little leaguer hits massive homer at Braves stadium

The 'When the Doctor took the Big Apple by storm' quiz

BIG3 Referee Hotline: Calls routed from 1-900-MIX-A-LOT

The Indians are on a mission to make you pay attention whether you want to or not

15 college football coaches who are on the hot seat

Getaway Day: The playing field is leveling off as the wild-card chase takes shape

The 'Anquan Boldin calls it a career' quiz

Sports & Politics Intersect: Echoes of Charlottesville ripple across the sports world

BIG3 Playoff Preview: Can anyone stop Trilogy?

Why the SEC is not the best football conference anymore

Box Score 8/18: Reds and Cubs claw through a 23-run game

The 'M! E! S! S! Mess! Mess! Mess!' quiz

Three Up, Three Down: Giancarlo Stanton won't stop hitting homers

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Yardbarker Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.

BIG3 Referee Hotline: Calls routed from 1-900-MIX-A-LOT

The 'When the Doctor took the Big Apple by storm' quiz

The Indians are on a mission to make you pay attention whether you want to or not

The 'Anquan Boldin calls it a career' quiz

Getaway Day: The playing field is leveling off as the wild-card chase takes shape

Sports & Politics Intersect: Echoes of Charlottesville ripple across the sports world

BIG3 Playoff Preview: Can anyone stop Trilogy?

The 'Bye bye to the Beast Incarnate?' quiz

Why the SEC is not the best football conference anymore

The 'M! E! S! S! Mess! Mess! Mess!' quiz

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker