Originally written on Pirates Prospects  |  Last updated 10/24/14
Matt Swartz of MLB Trade Rumors came out with a system last year to project expected arbitration prices. Here were the projections last year, and what the players actually received. Player (Projection/Actual) Joel Hanrahan ($4.0/$4.1) Casey McGehee ($3.1/$2.5375) Jeff Karstens ($2.8/$3.1) Garrett Jones ($2.4/$2.25) Ross Ohlendorf ($2.1/Non-Tendered) Charlie Morton ($2.1/$2.445) Jose Veras ($2.5/$2.0 with Milwaukee) Chris Resop ($1.1/$0.85) Evan Meek ($0.9/$0.875) Jason Grilli ($0.8/$1.1) For the most part, the predictions were accurate. Almost all of them were within $300 K of the MLBTR prediction. The exceptions were Casey McGehee, Jose Veras, and Charlie Morton, who was just barely outside of $300 K. Today, MLBTR previewed the arbitration eligibles for the Pirates, along with the expected arbitration prices. Below are the expected prices, along with what we had a few weeks ago. The MLBTR projections will be added to the 2013 40-man payroll projection. Our projections don’t go as i...
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