Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 1/31/13
Thanks to a change of venue and a slowly increasing tendency toward fly balls, Jason Kubel has become one of the better home run options in fantasy. Every year from 2006 through 2012, Kubel has hit more and more fly balls. Last year his 43.8 FB% wasn’t overly extreme, but it’s much higher than the low-to-mid 30s marks he was posting earlier in his career. Toss in a move from Target Field (103 park factor for HR to RHB) to Chase Field (114), and it shouldn’t be surprising that Kubel posted his first career 30-homer season in 2012. With the departure of Justin Upton, Kubel becomes an even more critical park of Arizona’s offensive attack. According to MLBDepthCharts.com, he’s slated to bat cleanup for the Diamondbacks, a lineup slot that should help him reproduce his numbers from last season. At a Glance Strengths: HR, RBI, SLG Neutral: R, BA, OBP, OPS Weaknesses: SB Player Comparisons Best-case scenario: Mark Trumbo (LAA) Likely scenario: Michael Morse (SEA), Ike Davis (NYM), Nelson Cruz (TEX) Worst-case scenario: Dayan Viciedo (CHW) Jason Kubel 2013 Fantasy Projection Kubel has never scored more than 75 runs in a single season, so he’s not going to contribute much in that category. He’s also totaled three stolen bases in the last five years, so one steal is about the best you can hope for. I believe he’s more of a .270 hitter than the .252 he displayed last year, so he’ll be average in that category. All of those neutrals and weaknesses add up and really limit his overall value, but the good news is that Kubel can contribute in the rarest way of all: with his power. I expect overall improvement this year from Kubel, mostly in the form of a better batting average, and I think Kubel’s ever-increasing tendency towards fly balls puts a modest floor on the kind of home run production we can expect. Honestly, I’d be surprised if he doesn’t hit at least 22-24 homers in a full season of play, and batting fourth for Arizona will yield around 90 RBI. Tweet
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

NFL official: Footballs known to have leaks 'right out of the box'

Bills suspend assistant coach for first six games of 2015

Trent Richardson has 50-50 chance at making Raiders roster

Rex Ryan takes subtle jabs at Jets' upper management

Everett Golson responds to Paul Finebaum's criticism

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Mark Sanchez says it ‘crazy’ to call Chip Kelly racist

Malcolm Butler daring Brady to throw his way in practice

Geno Smith confident worst is behind him and the Jets

Ronda Rousey knocks out Bethe Correia in 34 seconds

Von Miller earns dismissal from NFL’s drug program

Ian Kennedy watches birth of daughter on FaceTime before start

WATCH: Dez Bryant throws punches at training camp

There's no need for Notre Dame to join a conference

WATCH: Benches clear during Royals-Blue Jays game

Jim Harbaugh gives Nicki Minaj a shoutout on Twitter

The Kardashian sisters still call Caitlyn Jenner 'Bruce'

Tennessee fan recreates Neyland Stadium in backyard

Lolo Jones: I could last at least a minute against Rousey

Bears have very strict rules for media during training camp

Jamaal Charles: I feel like I'm the LeBron James of football

Ronda Rousey: I'll fight Cyborg if she stops taking steroids

Danny Garcia beats Paulie Malignaggi, remains undefeated

Bobby Wagner, Seahawks agree to contract extension

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Notre Dame doesn't need a conference

Rex takes jabs at Jets' management

Sanchez: It's 'crazy' to call Chip racist

Ronda Rousey calls out Cyborg

Five most underrated players in the NFL

Five potential NFL salary cap casualties this preseason

Winners and losers of the 2015 MLB trade deadline

Pirates do Pirates at deadline: Neat little moves

Mets acquire Cespedes from Tigers

Ranking the NFL’s 32 head coaches

Five worst baseball trades since 2000

Examining the state of the NFL

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker