Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 1/31/13
Thanks to a change of venue and a slowly increasing tendency toward fly balls, Jason Kubel has become one of the better home run options in fantasy. Every year from 2006 through 2012, Kubel has hit more and more fly balls. Last year his 43.8 FB% wasn’t overly extreme, but it’s much higher than the low-to-mid 30s marks he was posting earlier in his career. Toss in a move from Target Field (103 park factor for HR to RHB) to Chase Field (114), and it shouldn’t be surprising that Kubel posted his first career 30-homer season in 2012. With the departure of Justin Upton, Kubel becomes an even more critical park of Arizona’s offensive attack. According to MLBDepthCharts.com, he’s slated to bat cleanup for the Diamondbacks, a lineup slot that should help him reproduce his numbers from last season. At a Glance Strengths: HR, RBI, SLG Neutral: R, BA, OBP, OPS Weaknesses: SB Player Comparisons Best-case scenario: Mark Trumbo (LAA) Likely scenario: Michael Morse (SEA), Ike Davis (NYM), Nelson Cruz (TEX) Worst-case scenario: Dayan Viciedo (CHW) Jason Kubel 2013 Fantasy Projection Kubel has never scored more than 75 runs in a single season, so he’s not going to contribute much in that category. He’s also totaled three stolen bases in the last five years, so one steal is about the best you can hope for. I believe he’s more of a .270 hitter than the .252 he displayed last year, so he’ll be average in that category. All of those neutrals and weaknesses add up and really limit his overall value, but the good news is that Kubel can contribute in the rarest way of all: with his power. I expect overall improvement this year from Kubel, mostly in the form of a better batting average, and I think Kubel’s ever-increasing tendency towards fly balls puts a modest floor on the kind of home run production we can expect. Honestly, I’d be surprised if he doesn’t hit at least 22-24 homers in a full season of play, and batting fourth for Arizona will yield around 90 RBI. Tweet
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Treon Harris to start at QB for Gators’ opening game

Marshawn Lynch campaigning for Seahawks to sign Fred Jackson

Alabama vs. Wisconsin showdown not selling many tickets

Report: Last-minute Deflategate settlement deal very unlikely

Aaron Rodgers doesn't want to play in 2016 Hall of Fame Game

Floyd Mayweather Sr.: Manny Pacquiao a 'liar with no skills'

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Reports: LeSean McCoy's Week 1 status still uncertain

Jay Feely told Deflategate judge about 2009 kicking incident

Jon Gruden calls Marcus Mariota a ‘double-edged sword’

Report: Bills expected to cut Matt Cassel

Garcon: RG3 can be ‘great player on any team that he goes to’

Report: Cavs ‘convinced’ LeBron would not leave Cleveland again

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Be careful what you wish for, Jay Gruden

Ryan taking leap of faith with Bills

Top 10 storylines for Week 1 of college football season

Underdogs: Hopefuls that can shock in the World Cup

Manfred digs Shoeless Joe a deeper grave

Why Mike Trout ain't right

The Opening Drive: Jamal Anderson warns UM fans before heading to Salt Lake City

Best and worst MLB players in August

RG3 blames intern for liking Instagram post trashing owner

Four most surprising roster cuts from NFL teams

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker