Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 1/30/13
I’d say the Oakland Athletics did pretty well for themselves last offseason, trading closer Andrew Bailey for outfielder Josh Reddick. In fact, Reddick hit twice as many homers last year (32) as Bailey had innings pitched (15.1). For those of you scoring at home, that would be a win, folks. It was tough getting a feel for Reddick in Boston’s system as he played 12 partial seasons across different levels in his five years with the Red Sox organization, but this wasn’t the first time he’d shown more than a little pop. In 466 minor league games, Reddick hit 86 home runs, or 27.7 homers per 150 games. His strikeout and walk rates were very similar to what he did in Oakland last year (22.4% and 8.2%, respectively), and he even displayed a little speed here and there. Perhaps we shouldn’t have been so caught off guard by Reddick’s 32 homers and 117th overall rank last year. At a Glance Strengths: HR, SLG Neutral: R, RBI, SB, OPS Weaknesses: BA, OBP Player Comparisons Best-case scenario: Corey Hart (MIL) but pre-surgery, of course Likely scenario: Ike Davis (NYM), Jason Kubel (ARI), Nelson Cruz (TEX) Worst-case scenario: Colby Rasmus (TOR) Josh Reddick 2013 Fantasy Projection Can Reddick follow up his breakout 2012 campaign with more of the same this year? That’ll depend on two factors: his fly ball and HR/FB rates. Last year 49.6% of the balls Reddick put in play were flies. While he’s always been a fly ball hitter, that rate was a few percentage points higher than anything he’d done before. He also managed a higher HR/FB rate at home (14.3%) than on the road (13.6%), something that’s very surprising given Oakland’s park factor for homers to left-handed batters (72 versus 100 league average). That means it’s 28% harder for lefties to homer in Oakland than a league average park. I’d expect a little regression in both of those areas in 2013, and that should mean Reddick will fall just short of 30 homers. The good news is his infield fly rate last year (14.4%) was much higher than anything he’d ever posted, and that will likely drop as well. Assuming that happens, Reddick will probably find it a bit easier to hit for a better average, though the decrease in homers will offset that a bit as well. Overall with Reddick, you’re getting a borderline 30-homer player with enough speed to score 80+ runs and a favorable enough lineup slot (fifth) to tally 80+ RBI with around 10 steals. Even if the batting average isn’t that great (and it’ll probably be pretty bad), you’re still looking at a player who will knock on the door of the top 100 but is currently getting drafted 172nd overall. Tweet
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

LeBron James says Kevin Love-Celtics trade rumor is false

Michael Jordan gifts Kobe Bryant full set of Air Jordans

Bethune-Cookman football player killed at party

Former UFC heavyweight Kevin Randleman dead at 44

WATCH: Chelsea scores three goals in less than 20 minutes

Broncos safety Shiloh Keo arrested for DUI

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Mountain West admits error, says Boise St. shot was good

WATCH: John Calipari loses his mind, gets ejected

Former Clemson star Tajh Boyd to speak at John Kasich rally

Peyton Manning's alleged not-so-wholesome image

Hawks not shopping Al Horford at NBA trade deadline

Report: Lincecum has been throwing in secret location

Ejected John Calipari tweets “they don’t need me and I love it”

Popovich would 'buy ticket' to watch Warriors play

Jamal Murray destroyed South Carolina defender with dunk

WATCH: Lon Kruger gets Oklahoma hoops squad hype for Kansas test

Texas signee glad he didn’t pick Texas A&M after alleged racism

Dallas Stars have passed the early tests in February

Could Matt Forte become the revival for Patriots run game?

Are the Celtics legimate contenders in the East?

WATCH: Jabari Parker is no joke at NBA Rising Stars Challenge

How Marvelous Marv Throneberry became a Met

WATCH: Filip Forsberg goes beast on Lightning with this goal

Carmelo Anthony on trade rumors: ‘I’m not going anywhere’

Report: Cavaliers shopping Kevin Love, price tag very high

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Ranking the ten best free agent pitcher signings

Who had the best NBA All-Star Game of the last 40 years?

The winners and losers of the 2016 MLB offseason

On Kobe Bryant and taking greatness for granted

Bucks need to choose between wins, development

Fantasy booking WrestleMania 32

Unrestricted free agents each team must consider re-signing

QUIZ: Name the winners of the NBA Slam Dunk Contest

Thank you Daniel Bryan

The timeless greatness of Jaromir Jagr

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker