If Six Flags opened a new roller coaster ride called “Kyle Lohse‘s ERA” I think I’d be too afraid to ride it.
Did you know that Lohse, a 12-year MLB veteran, hasn’t had an ERA that began with the same number since the 2002 and 2003 seasons (4.23 and 4.61, respectively)? In the nine years since, Lohse’s ERA has once been in the 6.00s, twice in the 5.00s, three times in the 4.00s, once in the 3.00s, and once in the 2.00s.
For the most part his strikeout and walk rates have remained rather constant, but Lohse allows so much contact (by virtue of those constantly low strikeout rates) that modest yearly fluctuations in his BABIP have very pronounced effects. The end result has been a wildly erratic pitcher for the better part of the last decade, however Lohse has discovered something in his last two years with the Cardinals.
His 2.01 BB/9 and 1.62 BB/9 in 2011 and 2012, respectively, were the two lowest rates of his career, and his 3.76 K:BB ratio in 2012 was easily a career-best (previo...