Found March 01, 2012 on Baseball Professor:
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Jacoby Ellsbury won’t hit 32 homers again, but that doesn’t mean the power surge was a fluke. For years scouts have been waiting for Ellsbury to reveal the power that laid dormant in his bat, and last season he was able to make the necessary adjustments to become one of the most balanced — and fearsome — offensive threats in baseball. Personally, I’d be moderately shocked if Ellsbury doesn’t hit at least 18 homers, and something in the 20-24 range is a pretty good bet. Toss in his elite run and stolen base totals, and you have a recipe for a first-round caliber fantasy talent. After all, Ellsbury has ranked in the top five in two of the last three seasons. Best case scenario: Last season with a couple fewer HR and RBI Similar players: Carlos Gonzalez (COL), Ryan Braun (MIL), Ian Kinsler (TEX) Worst case scenario: Dustin Pedroia (BOS) Strengths Complete balance, lineup, vs. LHP. Ellsbury topped 70 home runs and stolen bases last season. Only Matt Kemp had more. He bats leadoff for...
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